Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coleraine win with a probability of 55.48%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Loughgall had a probability of 21.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Coleraine win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.69%) and 2-0 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.57%), while for a Loughgall win it was 1-2 (5.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.