NIFL Premiership
May 7, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
The Showgrounds

Coleraine
1 - 0
Crusaders

McManus (3')
Dunne (45'), (59')
FT(HT: 1-0)

(50')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Coleraine and Crusaders.

Form, Standings, Stats

Coleraine

All competitions
Last Game: Coleraine 1-0 Linfield
Saturday, April 26 at 5.30pm in NIFL Premiership

Crusaders

All competitions
Last Game: Dungannon 1-0 Crusaders
Saturday, April 26 at 5.30pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coleraine win with a probability of 43.25%. A win for Crusaders had a probability of 30.21% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Coleraine win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.83%) and 2-0 (7.85%). The likeliest Crusaders win was 0-1 (9.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Coleraine in this match.

Result
ColeraineDrawCrusaders
43.25% (0.17 0.17)26.54% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)30.21% (-0.164 -0.16)
Both teams to score 50.87% (-0.07 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.25% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)53.76% (0.055999999999997 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.77% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)75.24% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Coleraine Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.34% (0.062999999999988 0.06)24.66% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.82% (0.085000000000001 0.09)59.18% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)
Crusaders Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.52% (-0.148 -0.15)32.49% (0.151 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.99% (-0.167 -0.17)69.02% (0.17 0.17)
Score Analysis
    Coleraine 43.25%
    Crusaders 30.21%
    Draw 26.54%
ColeraineDrawCrusaders
1-0 @ 11.21% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-1 @ 8.83% (0.013 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.85% (0.044 0.04)
3-1 @ 4.12% (0.014 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.66% (0.027 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.32% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-1 @ 1.44% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.28% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 43.25%
1-1 @ 12.61%
0-0 @ 8.01% (0.017999999999999 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.96% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 26.54%
0-1 @ 9.01% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
1-2 @ 7.09% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-2 @ 5.06% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
1-3 @ 2.66% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.9% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.86% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 30.21%

Head to Head
Apr 19, 2025 3pm
Gameweek 4
Crusaders
3-0
Coleraine
Boyd (1', 54', 85' pen.)
(25'), (26'), (60'), (65')

(45+2'), Burns (45'), (85')
Jan 18, 2025 3pm
Gameweek 26
Coleraine
0-2
Crusaders

Glackin (83')
Blaney (35'), Jewitt-White (90+3')
Nov 24, 2024 12.30pm
Gameweek 18
Coleraine
1-2
Crusaders
Shevlin (76')
McClelland (45+2')
McClelland (79')
Stewart (20'), Offord (29')
O'Rourke (52'), Barr (55'), Stewart (69'), Smith (77')
Oct 5, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 11
Crusaders
2-1
Coleraine
Nixon (23'), Stewart (56')
Clarke (19'), Offord (80')
Boyle (35')
Jarvis (19'), Stewart (32'), McClelland (90+1')
May 6, 2024 3pm
Crusaders
3-2
Coleraine
O'Rourke (36'), Larmour (37'), Forsythe (90+2')
Clarke (45+5'), Lowry (49'), Heatley (75'), Nixon (82'), Nixon (82'), Larmour (90+5')
McGonigle (5'), Carson (70')
Scott (82')