Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coleraine win with a probability of 43.25%. A win for Crusaders had a probability of 30.21% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Coleraine win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.83%) and 2-0 (7.85%). The likeliest Crusaders win was 0-1 (9.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Coleraine in this match.