NIFL Premiership
May 7, 2025 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT The Showgrounds
  • Declan McManus 3' goal
  • Charles Dunne 45' yellowcard
  • 59' yellowcard
  • yellowcard 50'

Coleraine vs Crusaders - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Coleraine

All competitions
NIFL Premiership
Last game
Apr 26, 2025 5.30pm
Coleraine 1 - 0 Linfield
Goals scored
56
Top scorer
Matthew Shevlin

Crusaders

All competitions
NIFL Premiership
Last game
Apr 26, 2025 5.30pm
Dungannon 1 - 0 Crusaders
Goals scored
47
Top scorer
Kieran Offord

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coleraine win with a probability of 43.25%. A win for Crusaders had a probability of 30.21% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Coleraine win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.83%) and 2-0 (7.85%). The likeliest Crusaders win was 0-1 (9.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Coleraine in this match.

Result

Coleraine 43.25% (+0.18)
Draw 26.54% (-0.01)
Crusaders 30.21% (-0.17)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.87% (-0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5 46.25% (-0.06)
Under 2.5 53.76% (+0.06)
Over 3.5 24.77% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 75.24% (+0.05)
Over 4.5 11.21% (-0.03)
Under 4.5 88.79% (+0.04)

Coleraine Goals

Over 0.5 75.34% (+0.07)
Under 0.5 24.66% (-0.07)
Over 1.5 40.82% (+0.09)
Under 1.5 59.18% (-0.09)

Crusaders Goals

Over 0.5 67.52% (-0.15)
Under 0.5 32.49% (+0.16)
Over 1.5 30.99% (-0.17)
Under 1.5 69.02% (+0.18)

Score analysis

Coleraine 43.25%
Draw 26.54%
Crusaders 30.21%
Coleraine
1-0 @ 11.21% (+0.05)
2-1 @ 8.83% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 7.85% (+0.05)
3-1 @ 4.12% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 3.66% (+0.03)
3-2 @ 2.32% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.44% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.28% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 43.25%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.61%
0-0 @ 8.01% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 4.96% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 26.54%
Crusaders
0-1 @ 9.01% (-0.02)
1-2 @ 7.09% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 5.06% (-0.04)
1-3 @ 2.66% (-0.03)
0-3 @ 1.9% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.86% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 30.21%

Head to Head

NIFL Premiership Gameweek 4
Apr 19, 2025 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Seaview
  • Jay Boyd 1' goal
  • 25' yellowcard
  • 26' yellowcard
  • Jay Boyd 54' goal
  • 60' yellowcard
  • 65' yellowcard
  • Jay Boyd 85' goal
  • yellowcard Paddy Burns 45'
  • yellowcard 45'+2'
  • yellowcard 85'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 26
Jan 18, 2025 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT The Showgrounds
  • Jamie Glackin 83' yellowcard
  • goal Jacob Blaney 35'
  • goal Harry Jewitt-White 90'+3'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 18
Nov 24, 2024 12.30pm
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT The Showgrounds
  • Kyle McClelland 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Matthew Shevlin 76' goal
  • Kyle McClelland 79' redcard
  • goal Jordan Stewart 20'
  • goal Kieran Offord 29'
  • yellowcard Jarlath O'Rourke 52'
  • yellowcard Lewis Barr 55'
  • yellowcard Jordan Stewart 69'
  • yellowcard Mal Smith 77'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 11
Oct 5, 2024 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Seaview
  • Ross Clarke 19' yellowcard
  • Stewart Nixon 23' goal
  • Jordan Stewart 56' goal
  • Kieran Offord 80' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Dean Jarvis 19'
  • yellowcard Cameron Stewart 32'
  • goal Dylan Boyle 35'
  • yellowcard Kyle McClelland 90'+1'
NIFL Premiership
May 6, 2024 3.00pm
3
2
HT : 2 1
FT Seaview
  • Jarlath O'Rourke 36' goal
  • Daniel Larmour 37' goal
  • Philip Lowry 49' yellowcard
  • Ross Clarke 45'+5' yellowcard
  • Paul Heatley 75' yellowcard
  • Stewart Nixon 82' yellowcard
  • Stewart Nixon 82' yellowcard
  • Jordan Forsythe 90'+2' goal
  • Daniel Larmour 90'+5' yellowcard
  • goal Jamie McGonigle 5'
  • goal Josh Carson 70'
  • yellowcard Andrew Scott 82'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 4
Apr 20, 2024 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT The Showgrounds
  • Aaron Jarvis 77' yellowcard
  • Jamie Glackin 83' yellowcard
  • goal Daniel Larmour 20'
  • goal Jordan Forsythe 44'
  • yellowcard Aaron Jarvis 46'
  • yellowcard Jay Boyd 63'
  • yellowcard Jordan Forsythe 82'