Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cliftonville win with a probability of 38.44%. A win for Coleraine had a probability of 34.69% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cliftonville win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.29%) and 0-2 (6.8%). The likeliest Coleraine win was 1-0 (9.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cliftonville would win this match.