EFL Trophy Gameweek 3
Nov 3, 2026 7.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Rodney Parade
  • Cameron Evans 18' yellowcard
  • James Crole 51' goal
  • goal Jasper Judd 10'
  • yellowcard George King 19'
  • yellowcard Joseph Gibbard 50'
  • goal David Angibeaud 79'
  • yellowcard Chuks Okoli 82'

Newport County vs Crystal Palace Under-21s - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Newport County

All competitions
EFL Trophy
Last game
Oct 6, 2026 7.00pm
Newport 2 - 2 Plymouth

Crystal Palace Under-21s

All competitions
EFL Trophy
Last game
Sep 22, 2026 7.00pm
Plymouth 5 - 1 Palace U21s

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 53.91%. A win for Crystal Palace Under-21s had a probability of 25.32% and a draw had a probability of 20.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.08%) and 2-0 (7.12%). The likeliest Crystal Palace Under-21s win was 1-2 (6.18%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.

Result

Newport County 53.91% ▼ (-0.03)
Draw 20.72% ▼ (-0.04)
Crystal Palace Under-21s 25.32%

Both Teams to Score: 

61.74% ▼ (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 83.09% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 1.5 16.91% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 2.5 63.19% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 2.5 36.81% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 3.5 41.28% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 3.5 58.72% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 4.5 26.88% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 4.5 73.12% ▲ (+0.03)

First Half Winner

Newport County 39.65% ▲ (+0.11)
Draw 36.82% ▼ (-0.08)
Crystal Palace Under-21s 23.53% ▼ (-0.03)

Team To Score First

Newport County 58.95% ▲ (+0.23)
No Goal 3.87%
Crystal Palace Under-21s 37.18% ▼ (-0.22)

Corners

Over 8 58.54% ▼ (-0.04)
Equal 8 11.2%
Under 8 30.27% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 9 47.07% ▼ (-0.04)
Equal 9 11.47% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 9 41.46% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 10.5 36.27% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 10.5 63.73% ▲ (+0.01)

Newport County Goals

Over 1.5 55.3% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 1.5 44.7% ▲ (+0.09)
Over 2.5 31.09% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 2.5 68.91% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 3.5 14.02%
Under 3.5 85.98%

Crystal Palace Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5 61.74% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 0.5 38.26% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 1.5 32.04% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 1.5 67.96% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 2.5 12.7% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 2.5 87.3% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 3.5 4.7% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 3.5 95.3% ▲ (+0.02)

Score analysis

Newport County 53.91%
Draw 20.72%
Crystal Palace Under-21s 25.33%
Newport County
2-1 @ 9.22% ▼ (-0.01)
1-0 @ 8.08% ▲ (+0.03)
2-0 @ 7.12% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 5.92% ▼ (-0.03)
3-0 @ 5.19% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 4.42%
Other @ 13.96% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 53.91%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.64%
2-2 @ 5.61% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 3.87%
3-3 @ 1.54% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.06% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 20.72%
Crystal Palace Under-21s
1-2 @ 6.18%
0-1 @ 4.92% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 3.13%
1-3 @ 2.87% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.26%
0-3 @ 1.33% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 4.64% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 25.33%