Club Friendlies 3
Aug 16, 2026 4.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT St. James' Park
  • William Osula 38' goal
  • goal Gessime Yassine 69'

Newcastle United vs Strasbourg - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Newcastle United

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Aug 15, 2026 3.00pm
Newcastle 1 - 2 B. Leverkusen

Strasbourg

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Aug 8, 2026 2.30pm
Freiburg 2 - 0 Strasbourg

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 46.59%. A win for Strasbourg had a probability of 29.86% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.24%) and 2-0 (6.1%). The likeliest Strasbourg win was 1-2 (7.27%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.

Result

Newcastle United 46.59% (-2.43)
Draw 23.6% (-0.53)
Strasbourg 29.86% (+3.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

63.69% (+0.50)

Goals

Over 1.5 82.85% (+0.30)
Under 1.5 17.15% (-0.31)
Over 2.5 63.5% (+0.72)
Under 2.5 36.5% (-0.72)
Over 3.5 41.08% (+0.54)
Under 3.5 58.92% (-0.54)
Over 4.5 25.01% (+0.34)
Under 4.5 74.99% (-0.33)

First Half Winner

Newcastle United 36.49% (-1.40)
Draw 39.28% (-0.40)
Strasbourg 24.23% (+1.79)

Team To Score First

Newcastle United 56.29% (-0.58)
No Goal 4.88% (-0.33)
Strasbourg 38.83% (+0.90)

Corners

Over 8 65.07% (+1.09)
Equal 8 11.09% (+0.33)
Under 8 23.84% (-1.41)
Over 9 53.02% (+0.59)
Equal 9 12.05% (+0.52)
Under 9 34.93% (-1.10)
Over 10.5 41.13% (+0.02)
Under 10.5 58.87% (-0.02)

Newcastle United Goals

Over 1.5 51.71% (-1.72)
Under 1.5 48.29% (+1.72)
Over 2.5 25.95% (-1.56)
Under 2.5 74.05% (+1.55)
Over 3.5 11.04% (-0.85)
Under 3.5 88.96% (+0.84)

Strasbourg Goals

Over 0.5 67.49% (+2.15)
Under 0.5 32.51% (-2.15)
Over 1.5 37.84% (+2.79)
Under 1.5 62.16% (-2.79)
Over 2.5 15.94% (+1.91)
Under 2.5 84.06% (-1.91)
Over 3.5 5.88% (+0.83)
Under 3.5 94.12% (-0.82)

Score analysis

Newcastle United 46.59%
Draw 23.6%
Strasbourg 29.87%
Newcastle United
2-1 @ 9.49% (-0.29)
1-0 @ 7.24% (-0.21)
2-0 @ 6.1% (-0.44)
3-1 @ 5.59% (-0.38)
3-0 @ 3.83% (-0.27)
3-2 @ 3.82% (-0.09)
Other @ 10.52% (-0.79)
Total : 46.59%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.48% (-0.34)
2-2 @ 7.05% (+0.19)
0-0 @ 4.88% (-0.33)
3-3 @ 1.67% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.52% (-0.06)
Total : 23.6%
Strasbourg
1-2 @ 7.27% (+0.42)
0-1 @ 5.09% (+0.36)
0-2 @ 3.76% (+0.34)
1-3 @ 3.43% (+0.40)
2-3 @ 3.12% (+0.37)
0-3 @ 1.84% (+0.34)
Other @ 5.36% (+0.88)
Total : 29.87%