Club Friendlies 3
Aug 15, 2026 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT St. James' Park
  • Malick Thiaw 44' goal
  • goal Ibrahim Maza 1'
  • yellowcard 40'
  • goal Victor Boniface 82'

Newcastle United vs Bayer Leverkusen - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Newcastle United

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Aug 12, 2026 5.15pm
Newcastle 1 - 3 Everton

Bayer Leverkusen

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Aug 12, 2026 7.45pm
Nott'm Forest 2 - 1 B. Leverkusen

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 38.59%. A win for Bayer Leverkusen had a probability of 37.05% and a draw had a probability of 24.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 2-1 with a probability of 7.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.71%) and 2-0 (5.32%). The likeliest Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-2 (7.7%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.

Result

Newcastle United 38.59% (+0.04)
Draw 24.36% (-0.02)
Bayer Leverkusen 37.05% (-0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

63.43%

Goals

Over 1.5 82.26% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 17.74% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 61.45% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 38.55% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 40.85%
Under 3.5 59.15%
Over 4.5 25.09%
Under 4.5 74.91%

First Half Winner

Newcastle United 31.85%
Draw 39.56% (+0.02)
Bayer Leverkusen 28.59% (-0.02)

Team To Score First

Newcastle United 43.58%
No Goal 4.89% (-0.02)
Bayer Leverkusen 51.53% (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 60.72%
Equal 8 10.72%
Under 8 28.56%
Over 9 49.57%
Equal 9 11.15%
Under 9 39.28%
Over 10.5 38.88%
Under 10.5 61.12%

Newcastle United Goals

Over 1.5 44.42%
Under 1.5 55.58%
Over 2.5 20.83% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 79.17% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 7.91% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 92.09% (-0.01)

Bayer Leverkusen Goals

Over 0.5 72.87% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 27.13% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 43.69% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 56.31% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 20.29% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 79.71% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 8.39%
Under 3.5 91.61%

Score analysis

Newcastle United 38.59%
Draw 24.36%
Bayer Leverkusen 37.05%
Newcastle United
2-1 @ 7.86%
1-0 @ 6.71% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 5.32%
3-1 @ 4.74% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.75%
3-0 @ 2.6%
Other @ 7.61% (+0.02)
Total : 38.59%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.44%
2-2 @ 6.9% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 4.89% (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.83%
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 24.36%
Bayer Leverkusen
1-2 @ 7.7%
0-1 @ 6.14%
0-2 @ 5.05%
1-3 @ 4.12% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 3.51% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 2.44%
Other @ 8.09%
Total : 37.05%

Head to Head

Champions League
Dec 10, 2025 8.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Bruno Guimaraes 13' goal
  • Ernest Poku 47' yellowcard
  • Mark Flekken 51' yellowcard
  • Aleix Garcia 51' yellowcard
  • Alex Grimaldo 88' goal
  • yellowcard Malick Thiaw 21'
  • yellowcard Malick Thiaw 22'
  • goal Anthony Gordon 51'
  • goal Lewis Miley 74'
  • yellowcard Aaron Ramsdale 82'