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European Under-21s Championship | Semi-Finals
Jun 3, 2021 at 8pm UK
MOL Aréna Sóstó (Székesfehérvár)

Netherlands U21s
1 - 2
Germany U21s

Schuurs (67')
Harroui (26'), de Wit (86'), Sierhuis (90')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Wirtz (1', 8')
Baku (54'), Dorsch (79'), Stach (90+5')

Preview: Netherlands Under-21s vs. Germany Under-21s - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Thursday's European Under-21 Championship clash between Netherlands Under-21s and Germany Under-21s, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Netherlands Under-21s and Germany Under-21s square off in Szekesfehervar on Thursday evening looking to earn a place in the European Under-21 Championship final.

While the Netherlands pulled off an unlikely comeback to defeat pre-tournament favourites France, Germany needed a penalty shootout to overcome Denmark and reach the last four.


Match preview

Netherlands Under-21s manger Erwin van de Looi on March 27, 2021© Reuters

Having failed to keep a clean sheet in any of their four matches, the Netherlands are far from the finished article as they bid to win their first crown since 2007.

However, despite riding their luck on Monday evening, their dramatic 2-1 victory over France made a statement to the rest of the contenders.

Myron Boadu's name featured in the headlines after his second-half double, but it took as many influential performances at the other end to restrict France to a goal from a set piece.

Jong Oranje are no strangers to their next opponents with the two teams playing out a 1-1 draw during the group stages in March.

Nevertheless, Erwin van de Looi will feel that his squad have the edge on this occasion with Germany having been taken to the brink by Denmark.

Lukas Nmecha's 88th-minute equaliser kept his country in the competition before Germany came from behind to prevail 6-5 in a penalty shootout.

Germany are not as strong as in previous years with three matches having now passed without Stefan Kuntz's team winning in normal time.

However, like in tournaments gone by, they may relish the chance to be dark horses having reached the semi-finals for the fourth time in succession.

Nmecha, the Manchester City striker coming off the back of the best season of his career with Anderlecht, is one of five players sitting at the top of the scoring charts with three goals.

Netherlands Under-21s European Under-21 Championship form:
  • D
  • D
  • W
  • W

Germany Under-21s European Under-21 Championship form:
  • W
  • D
  • D
  • D



Team News

Germany under-21s manager Stefan Kuntz with Jonathan Burkhardt on March 27, 2021© Reuters

Jonathan Burkardt is in line for a return to the Germany starting lineup after the impact that he made versus Denmark.

While Anton Stach and Mateo Klimowicz are competing for a place in midfield, Vitaly Janelt is now under consideration for a starting role after helping Brentford earn promotion to the Premier League.

Barring any late fitness issues, Van de Looi could stick with the Netherlands XI which started the game against France.

Mitchel Bakker is an alternative to Tyrell Malacia at left-back, but Ferdi Kadioglu should retain his spot further down that flank.

Netherlands Under-21s possible starting lineup:
Bijlow; Teze, Schuurs, Botman, Malacia; Stengs, Harroui, De Wit, Kadioglu; Boadu, Kluivert

Germany Under-21s possible starting lineup:
Dahmen; Vagnoman, Pieper, Schlotterbeck, Raum; Janelt, Maier; Baku, Wirtz, Burkardt; Nmecha


SM words green background

We say: Netherlands Under-21s 2-1 Germany Under-21s

As the one team not required to go to extra time in the last eight, we feel that the Netherlands are well placed to progress.

Germany have the quality to make life difficult for Jong Oranje, but Van de Looi's men could outlast their opponents.


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Written by
Darren Plant

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Netherlands Under-21s win with a probability of 50.98%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Germany Under-21s had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Netherlands Under-21s win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.52%) and 2-0 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.84%), while for a Germany Under-21s win it was 0-1 (7.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.


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Game History

Who will win Thursday's European Under-21 Championship clash between Netherlands U21s and Germany U21s?

Netherlands U21s
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
Germany U21s
0.0%
0
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Germany's defender and captain Philipp Lahm (front-R) holds up the World Cup trophy as he celebrates on with his teammates after winning the 2014 FIFA World Cup final on July 13, 2014
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