UEFA Nations League header

UEFA Nations League

Norway national football team
Nations League | League B
Oct 11, 2020 at 5pm UK
Ullevaal Stadion
Romania national football team

Norway
4 - 0
Romania

Braut Haaland (13', 64', 74'), Sorloth (39')
Elabdellaoui (61')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Bancu (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's UEFA Nations League fixture between Norway and Romania, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norway win with a probability of 49.1%. A win for Romania had a probability of 25.7% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norway win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.42%) and 2-0 (8.85%). The likeliest Romania win was 0-1 (7.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Norway would win this match.

Result
NorwayDrawRomania
49.1%25.19%25.7%
Both teams to score 51.9%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.06%50.94%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.19%72.81%
Norway Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.24%20.76%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.6%53.4%
Romania Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.5%34.5%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.78%71.22%
Score Analysis
    Norway 49.1%
    Romania 25.7%
    Draw 25.19%
NorwayDrawRomania
1-0 @ 11.26%
2-1 @ 9.42%
2-0 @ 8.85%
3-1 @ 4.94%
3-0 @ 4.64%
3-2 @ 2.63%
4-1 @ 1.94%
4-0 @ 1.82%
4-2 @ 1.03%
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 49.1%
1-1 @ 11.98%
0-0 @ 7.16%
2-2 @ 5.01%
3-3 @ 0.93%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 25.19%
0-1 @ 7.62%
1-2 @ 6.38%
0-2 @ 4.06%
1-3 @ 2.26%
2-3 @ 1.78%
0-3 @ 1.44%
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 25.7%

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