Nations League
Oct 11, 2020 5.00pm
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT Ullevaal Stadion
  • Erling Braut Haaland 13' goal
  • Alexander Sorloth 39' goal
  • Omar Elabdellaoui 61' yellowcard
  • Erling Braut Haaland 64' goal
  • Erling Braut Haaland 74' goal
  • yellowcard Nicusor Bancu 84'

Norway vs Romania - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Norway

All competitions
Nations League
Last game
Sep 7, 2020 7.45pm
N. Ireland 1 - 5 Norway

Romania

All competitions
Nations League
Last game
Sep 7, 2020 7.45pm
Austria 2 - 3 Romania

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norway win with a probability of 49.1%. A win for Romania had a probability of 25.7% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norway win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.42%) and 2-0 (8.85%). The likeliest Romania win was 0-1 (7.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Norway would win this match.

Result

Norway 49.1%
Draw 25.19%
Romania 25.7%

Both Teams to Score: 

51.9%

Goals

Over 2.5 49.06%
Under 2.5 50.94%
Over 3.5 27.19%
Under 3.5 72.81%

Norway Goals

Over 0.5 79.24%
Under 0.5 20.76%
Over 1.5 46.6%
Under 1.5 53.4%

Romania Goals

Over 0.5 65.5%
Under 0.5 34.5%
Over 1.5 28.78%
Under 1.5 71.22%

Score analysis

Norway 49.1%
Draw 25.19%
Romania 25.7%
Norway
1-0 @ 11.26%
2-1 @ 9.42%
2-0 @ 8.85%
3-1 @ 4.94%
3-0 @ 4.64%
3-2 @ 2.63%
4-1 @ 1.94%
4-0 @ 1.82%
4-2 @ 1.03%
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 49.1%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.98%
0-0 @ 7.16%
2-2 @ 5.01%
Other @ 1.04%
Total : 25.19%
Romania
0-1 @ 7.62%
1-2 @ 6.38%
0-2 @ 4.06%
1-3 @ 2.26%
2-3 @ 1.78%
0-3 @ 1.44%
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 25.7%

Head to Head

Euro Champ Qualifying
Oct 15, 2019 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Romario Benzar 43' yellowcard
  • Alexandru Mitrita 62' goal
  • Dan Nicolae Nistor 80' yellowcard
  • goal Alexander Sorloth 92'
Euro Champ Qualifying
Jun 7, 2019 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Sander Berge 22' yellowcard
  • Tarik Elyounoussi 56' goal
  • Martin Odegaard 70' goal
  • yellowcard Paul Anton 17'
  • goal Claudiu Keseru 77'
  • yellowcard Dragos Grigore 80'
  • goal Claudiu Keseru 92'