Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norway win with a probability of 49.1%. A win for Romania had a probability of 25.7% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Norway win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.42%) and 2-0 (8.85%). The likeliest Romania win was 0-1 (7.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Norway would win this match.
