National League | Gameweek 32

Feb 26, 2022 at 3pm UK

Racecourse Ground

Wrexham
4 - 1
Aldershot

Mullin (35', 68'), Davies (49'), Palmer (57')
Young (61')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Phillips (90+2')
Daniel (42')

Coverage of the National League clash between Wrexham and Aldershot Town.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 66.39%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 12.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.14%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.73%), while for an Aldershot Town win it was 0-1 (4.99%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.

Result
Wrexham	Draw	Aldershot Town
66.39%	20.65%	12.96%

Both teams to score 44.08%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.93%

50.06%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.96%

72.04%

Wrexham Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.77%

14.22%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.03%

41.97%

Aldershot Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

51.39%

48.6%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.33%

83.67%

Score Analysis

Wrexham 66.38%

Aldershot Town 12.96%

Draw 20.65%

Wrexham	Draw	Aldershot Town
1-0 @ 13.48% 2-0 @ 13.14% 2-1 @ 9.49% 3-0 @ 8.55% 3-1 @ 6.17% 4-0 @ 4.17% 4-1 @ 3.01% 3-2 @ 2.22% 5-0 @ 1.63% 5-1 @ 1.17% 4-2 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.28% Total : 66.38%	1-1 @ 9.73% 0-0 @ 6.91% 2-2 @ 3.42% Other @ 0.59% Total : 20.65%	0-1 @ 4.99% 1-2 @ 3.51% 0-2 @ 1.8% Other @ 2.66% Total : 12.96%