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National League | Gameweek 21
Nov 4, 2023 at 3pm UK
Westhumble Playing Fields
Dagenham & Redbridge

Dorking
1 - 3
Dag & Red

Ottaway (13')
Pybus (77'), Fuller (81'), Taylor (86')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Gallagher (4' og.), Effiong (33'), Hare (78')
Vincent (63')
Coverage of the National League clash between Dorking Wanderers and Dagenham & Redbridge.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Dorking 2-1 Aldershot
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Ebbsfleet 0-1 Dag & Red
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in National League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dagenham & Redbridge win with a probability of 45.84%. A win for Dorking Wanderers had a probability of 29.58% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dagenham & Redbridge win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.28%) and 0-2 (7.47%). The likeliest Dorking Wanderers win was 1-0 (7.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dagenham & Redbridge would win this match.

Result
Dorking WanderersDrawDagenham & Redbridge
29.58% (0.010999999999999 0.01)24.58% (0.0019999999999989 0)45.84% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
Both teams to score 56.83% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.16% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)45.83% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.85% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)68.15% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Dorking Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.12% (0.0030000000000001 0)28.88% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.25% (0.0030000000000001 0)64.75% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Dagenham & Redbridge Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.91% (-0.012 -0.01)20.09% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.67% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)52.33% (0.013000000000005 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Dorking Wanderers 29.58%
    Dagenham & Redbridge 45.84%
    Draw 24.58%
Dorking WanderersDrawDagenham & Redbridge
1-0 @ 7.21% (0.0040000000000004 0)
2-1 @ 7.18% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 4.48% (0.0029999999999992 0)
3-1 @ 2.97% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 2.39%
3-0 @ 1.85% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 0.92%
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 29.58%
1-1 @ 11.56%
0-0 @ 5.8% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-2 @ 5.76%
3-3 @ 1.28%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.58%
0-1 @ 9.31%
1-2 @ 9.28% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
0-2 @ 7.47% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 4.97% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 4% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 3.08% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 1.99% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-4 @ 1.6% (-0.002 -0)
2-4 @ 1.24% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 45.84%

Head to Head
Apr 1, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 41
Dag & Red
0-2
Dorking
Prior (66'), Ottaway (80')
Oct 1, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 12
Dorking
5-1
Dag & Red
McShane (28', 33'), Bowerman (50'), Mekki (55'), Seager (59')
Lincoln (83' og.)