Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 49.49%. A win for Weymouth had a probability of 25.56% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.48%) and 2-0 (8.81%). The likeliest Weymouth win was 0-1 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Chesterfield in this match.
| Result | ||
| Chesterfield | Draw | Weymouth |
| 49.49% | 24.94% | 25.56% |
| Both teams to score 52.55% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.98% | 50.02% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28% | 72% |
| Chesterfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.77% | 20.23% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.44% | 52.55% |
| Weymouth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.87% | 34.12% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.19% | 70.81% |
| Score Analysis |
| Chesterfield | Draw | Weymouth |
| 1-0 @ 11.03% 2-1 @ 9.48% 2-0 @ 8.81% 3-1 @ 5.05% 3-0 @ 4.7% 3-2 @ 2.71% 4-1 @ 2.02% 4-0 @ 1.88% 4-2 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.74% Total : 49.49% | 1-1 @ 11.86% 0-0 @ 6.9% 2-2 @ 5.1% 3-3 @ 0.97% Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.94% | 0-1 @ 7.42% 1-2 @ 6.38% 0-2 @ 3.99% 1-3 @ 2.29% 2-3 @ 1.83% 0-3 @ 1.43% Other @ 2.23% Total : 25.56% |