National League Gameweek 5
Aug 31, 2026 3.00pm
The Jakemans Stadium

Boston United vs AFC Hornchurch - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Boston United

All competitions
Last game
Aug 27, 2026 7.45pm
Boreham Wood 2 - 1 Boston
Goals scored
4
Top scorer
Ken Aboh

AFC Hornchurch

All competitions
National League
Last game
Aug 28, 2026 7.45pm
Hornchurch 1 - 0 Woking
Goals scored
7
Top scorer
Joe Kizzi

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Boston United win with a probability of 50.28%. A draw has a probability of 25.06% and a win for AFC Hornchurch has a probability of 24.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Boston United win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.99%) and 2-0 (8.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.41%) , while for a AFC Hornchurch win it is 0-1 (6.66%).

Result

Boston United 50.28% (-0.05)
Draw 25.06%
AFC Hornchurch 24.66% (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.07% (-0.01)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.98% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 24.02% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 52.96% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 47.04% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 30.22% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 69.78% (-0.04)
Over 4.5 17.49% (+0.03)
Under 4.5 82.51% (-0.04)

First Half Winner

Boston United 36.38% (-0.02)
Draw 40.64%
AFC Hornchurch 22.98% (+0.02)

Team To Score First

Boston United 57.36% (+0.12)
No Goal 6.99% (-0.01)
AFC Hornchurch 35.65% (-0.11)

Corners

Over 8 62.17% (-0.08)
Equal 8 10.93% (+0.01)
Under 8 26.9% (+0.06)
Over 9 50.65% (-0.07)
Equal 9 11.52% (-0.01)
Under 9 37.83% (+0.08)
Over 10.5 39.5% (-0.07)
Under 10.5 60.5% (+0.07)

Boston United Goals

Over 1.5 48.09%
Under 1.5 51.91%
Over 2.5 22.91%
Under 2.5 77.09%
Over 3.5 8.42% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 91.58% (-0.02)

AFC Hornchurch Goals

Over 0.5 61.17% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 38.83% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 28.03% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 71.97% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 9.26% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 90.74% (-0.03)
Over 3.5 3.09%
Under 3.5 96.91%

Score analysis

Boston United 50.3%
Draw 25.08%
AFC Hornchurch 24.66%
Boston United
1-0 @ 10.41% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 9.99% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 8.12% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 5.08% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 4.94% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.35%
Other @ 8.41% (+0.01)
Total : 50.3%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.41% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 6.99% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.55% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.12% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 25.08%
AFC Hornchurch
0-1 @ 6.66% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 6.41%
0-2 @ 3.46%
1-3 @ 2.12%
2-3 @ 1.52% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.41%
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 24.66%