National League
Aug 31, 2026 3.00pm
2
3
HT : 2 1
FT The Jakemans Stadium
  • Ken Aboh 34' goal
  • Sai Sachdev 42' goal
  • yellowcard Jack Powell 13'
  • yellowcard Ryan Inniss 33'
  • goal Jake Rooney 41' (OG)
  • goal Aaron Rowe 80'
  • goal Bobby Kelman 87'

Boston United vs AFC Hornchurch - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Boston United

All competitions
Last game
Aug 27, 2026 7.45pm
Boreham Wood 2 - 1 Boston
Goals scored
6
Top scorer
Ken Aboh

AFC Hornchurch

All competitions
National League
Last game
Aug 28, 2026 7.45pm
Hornchurch 1 - 0 Woking
Goals scored
10
Top scorer
Joe Kizzi

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boston United win with a probability of 50.33%. A draw had a probability of 25.06% and a win for AFC Hornchurch had a probability of 24.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Boston United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (10%) and 2-0 (8.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.42%) , while for a AFC Hornchurch win it was 0-1 (6.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.

Result

Boston United 50.33% ▲ (+0.05)
Draw 25.06%
AFC Hornchurch 24.66%

Both Teams to Score: 

55.07%

Goals

Over 1.5 75.98%
Under 1.5 24.02%
Over 2.5 52.96%
Under 2.5 47.04%
Over 3.5 30.17% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 3.5 69.83% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 4.5 17.45% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 4.5 82.55% ▲ (+0.04)

First Half Winner

Boston United 36.38%
Draw 40.64%
AFC Hornchurch 22.98%

Team To Score First

Boston United 57.36%
No Goal 6.99%
AFC Hornchurch 35.65%

Corners

Over 8 62.17%
Equal 8 10.93%
Under 8 26.9%
Over 9 50.65%
Equal 9 11.52%
Under 9 37.83%
Over 10.5 39.5%
Under 10.5 60.5%

Boston United Goals

Over 1.5 48.08% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 51.92% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 2.5 22.9% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 2.5 77.1% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 3.5 8.41% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 3.5 91.59% ▲ (+0.02)

AFC Hornchurch Goals

Over 0.5 61.17%
Under 0.5 38.83%
Over 1.5 28% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 72% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 2.5 9.23% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 2.5 90.77% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 3.08% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 3.5 96.92% ▲ (+0.02)

Score analysis

Boston United 50.33%
Draw 25.07%
AFC Hornchurch 24.66%
Boston United
1-0 @ 10.42% ▲ (+0.01)
2-1 @ 10% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 8.13% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 5.08%
3-0 @ 4.95% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.35%
Other @ 8.4% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 50.33%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.42% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 6.99%
2-2 @ 5.54% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.11% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 25.07%
AFC Hornchurch
0-1 @ 6.67% ▲ (+0.01)
1-2 @ 6.42% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 3.46%
1-3 @ 2.11% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.51% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.42% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 3.07% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 24.66%