Weymouth
National League South | Gameweek 46
Apr 26, 2025 at 3pm UK
Bob Lucas Stadium

Weymouth
1 - 6
Chelmsford City

Linton (15')
FT(HT: 1-3)
Ruff (24', 32', 56'), Bland (34'), Crichlow (77'), Thomas Murphy (85')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Weymouth and Chelmsford City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Weymouth

All competitions
Last Game: Torquay Utd 3-0 Weymouth
Monday, April 21 at 3pm in National League South

Chelmsford City

All competitions
Last Game: Chelmsford City 5-1 Welling United
Monday, April 21 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 44.42%. A win for Weymouth had a probability of 31.53% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.22%) and 0-2 (6.76%). The likeliest Weymouth win was 2-1 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-6 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelmsford City would win this match.

Result
WeymouthDrawChelmsford City
31.53% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)24.04% (-0.012 -0.01)44.42% (0.014000000000003 0.01)
Both teams to score 59.79% (0.040999999999997 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.58% (0.052999999999997 0.05)42.42% (-0.053000000000004 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.18% (0.052999999999997 0.05)64.82% (-0.053000000000011 -0.05)
Weymouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.1% (0.02600000000001 0.03)25.9% (-0.026 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.11% (0.033999999999999 0.03)60.89% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Chelmsford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.69% (0.027000000000001 0.03)19.31% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.94% (0.045000000000002 0.05)51.06% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Weymouth 31.53%
    Chelmsford City 44.42%
    Draw 24.04%
WeymouthDrawChelmsford City
2-1 @ 7.51%
1-0 @ 6.76% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-0 @ 4.56% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-1 @ 3.38% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-2 @ 2.78% (0.004 0)
3-0 @ 2.06%
4-1 @ 1.14% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 0.94% (0.0019999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 31.53%
1-1 @ 11.11%
2-2 @ 6.17% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-0 @ 5% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.52% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 24.04%
1-2 @ 9.14%
0-1 @ 8.22% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-2 @ 6.76% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 5.01% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-3 @ 3.71%
2-3 @ 3.38% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
1-4 @ 2.06% (0.004 0)
0-4 @ 1.53% (0.002 0)
2-4 @ 1.39% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 44.42%

Head to Head
Dec 21, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 22
Chelmsford City
0-0
Weymouth
Appiah (45+8'), James (45+12')
Brooks (57')
Feb 10, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 33
Chelmsford City
1-0
Weymouth
Barbrook (47')
Aug 26, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 5
Weymouth
0-3
Chelmsford City

Cheshire (90+1')
Hockey (30'), Barnum-Bobb (75'), Jones (90+2' pen.)
Jan 21, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 29
Weymouth
1-2
Chelmsford City
Ash (39')
Grant (28'), Jackson (89')
Aug 20, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 4
Chelmsford City
3-1
Weymouth
Blackwell (18', 34'), Jones (90+5')
Blair (51')
rhs 2.0


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