Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 44.42%. A win for Weymouth had a probability of 31.53% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.22%) and 0-2 (6.76%). The likeliest Weymouth win was 2-1 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-6 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelmsford City would win this match.