National League South | Gameweek 46
Apr 26, 2025 at 3pm UK
Longmead Stadium
Boreham Wood

Tonbridge Angels
1 - 3
Boreham Wood

Berry (70')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Rush (28'), Clayden (41'), Ilesanmi (49')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Tonbridge Angels and Boreham Wood.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Maidstone 1-1 Tonbridge Angels
Monday, April 21 at 1pm in National League South
Last Game: Boreham Wood 4-1 Enfield Town
Monday, April 21 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boreham Wood win with a probability of 48.32%. A win for Tonbridge Angels had a probability of 27.04% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Boreham Wood win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.46%) and 0-2 (8.23%). The likeliest Tonbridge Angels win was 1-0 (7.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Boreham Wood would win this match.

Result
Tonbridge AngelsDrawBoreham Wood
27.04% (0.357 0.36)24.64% (0.073 0.07)48.32% (-0.433 -0.43)
Both teams to score 54.82% (0.052999999999997 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.36% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)47.64% (0.064 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.16% (-0.061 -0.06)69.84% (0.058000000000007 0.06)
Tonbridge Angels Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.33% (0.242 0.24)31.67% (-0.244 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.92% (0.276 0.28)68.08% (-0.28 -0.28)
Boreham Wood Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.23% (-0.206 -0.21)19.77% (0.203 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.18% (-0.335 -0.34)51.82% (0.332 0.33)
Score Analysis
    Tonbridge Angels 27.04%
    Boreham Wood 48.31%
    Draw 24.64%
Tonbridge AngelsDrawBoreham Wood
1-0 @ 7.2% (0.067 0.07)
2-1 @ 6.71% (0.065 0.07)
2-0 @ 4.14% (0.066 0.07)
3-1 @ 2.57% (0.042 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.08% (0.021 0.02)
3-0 @ 1.59% (0.036 0.04)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 27.04%
1-1 @ 11.67% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
0-0 @ 6.26% (0.016 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.44% (0.018 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.13% (0.0039999999999998 0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.64%
0-1 @ 10.14% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
1-2 @ 9.46% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-2 @ 8.23% (-0.083 -0.08)
1-3 @ 5.11% (-0.049 -0.05)
0-3 @ 4.44% (-0.074 -0.07)
2-3 @ 2.94% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
1-4 @ 2.07% (-0.033 -0.03)
0-4 @ 1.8% (-0.041 -0.04)
2-4 @ 1.19% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 48.31%

Head to Head
Dec 21, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 22
Boreham Wood
1-1
Tonbridge Angels
Ndlovu (77')
Richardson (27'), Appiah (61')
Hanson (72')