Maidstone United
National League South | Gameweek 45
Apr 21, 2025 at 1pm UK
Gallagher Stadium

Maidstone
1 - 1
Tonbridge Angels

Blair (23')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Sutcliffe (65')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Maidstone United and Tonbridge Angels.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Welling United 0-4 Maidstone
Friday, April 18 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Tonbridge Angels 0-1 Hornchurch
Friday, April 18 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maidstone United win with a probability of 71.66%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Tonbridge Angels had a probability of 8.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Maidstone United win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (16.02%) and 3-0 (10.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.58%), while for a Tonbridge Angels win it was 0-1 (4.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.

Result
Maidstone UnitedDrawTonbridge Angels
71.66% (0.377 0.38)19.41% (-0.166 -0.17)8.93% (-0.218 -0.22)
Both teams to score 35% (-0.346 -0.35)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.12% (0.027999999999999 0.03)54.88% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.83% (0.021999999999998 0.02)76.17% (-0.027999999999992 -0.03)
Maidstone United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.87% (0.123 0.12)14.13% (-0.129 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.22% (0.246 0.25)41.77% (-0.253 -0.25)
Tonbridge Angels Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
40.75% (-0.464 -0.46)59.24% (0.458 0.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
9.74% (-0.245 -0.25)90.26% (0.239 0.24)
Score Analysis
    Maidstone United 71.64%
    Tonbridge Angels 8.93%
    Draw 19.41%
Maidstone UnitedDrawTonbridge Angels
1-0 @ 16.37% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-0 @ 16.02% (0.12 0.12)
3-0 @ 10.45% (0.13 0.13)
2-1 @ 8.39% (-0.057 -0.06)
3-1 @ 5.47% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-0 @ 5.12% (0.087 0.09)
4-1 @ 2.68% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
5-0 @ 2% (0.043 0.04)
3-2 @ 1.43% (-0.024 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.05% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 71.64%
1-1 @ 8.58% (-0.098000000000001 -0.1)
0-0 @ 8.37% (-0.011000000000001 -0.01)
2-2 @ 2.2% (-0.047 -0.05)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 19.41%
0-1 @ 4.38% (-0.071 -0.07)
1-2 @ 2.25% (-0.059 -0.06)
0-2 @ 1.15% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 1.15%
Total : 8.93%

Head to Head
Dec 26, 2024 1pm
Gameweek 23
Tonbridge Angels
1-3
Maidstone
Vincent (45+4')
Fielding (24'), Robinson (45+7'), Wagstaff (64')
Fowler (2'), Blair (77'), Bentley (90+4')
Higgs (44'), Trusty (90')
Jan 1, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 26
Maidstone
2-0
Tonbridge Angels
Lyons-Foster (34' og.), Corne (41' pen.)
Dec 26, 2023 1pm
Gameweek 25
Tonbridge Angels
1-1
Maidstone
Higgs (90+4')
Rush (57')
Jan 2, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 20
Maidstone
2-0
Tonbridge Angels
Odusanya (33'), Luque (43')

Loft (83')
Dec 26, 2021 12.30pm