National League South Gameweek 6
Aug 31, 2026 3.00pm
Stonebridge Road

Ebbsfleet vs Horsham - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Ebbsfleet

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Aug 29, 2026 3.00pm
Farnborough 0 - 0 Ebbsfleet

Horsham

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Aug 29, 2026 3.00pm
Horsham 1 - 2 Farnham Town
Goals scored
6
Top scorer
Greg Luer

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Ebbsfleet win with a probability of 54.2%. A draw has a probability of 24.01% and a win for Horsham has a probability of 21.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ebbsfleet win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.99%) and 2-0 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.31%) , while for a Horsham win it is 0-1 (6.36%).

Result

Ebbsfleet 54.2% (+0.05)
Draw 24.01% (-0.02)
Horsham 21.79% (-0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.29% (-0.06)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.08% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 24.92% (+0.05)
Over 2.5 51.04% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 48.96% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 28.5%
Under 3.5 71.5%
Over 4.5 16.85% (+0.03)
Under 4.5 83.15% (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Ebbsfleet 40.89% (+0.05)
Draw 41.37% (-0.04)
Horsham 17.74% (-0.03)

Team To Score First

Ebbsfleet 59.32% (+0.04)
No Goal 7.05%
Horsham 33.63% (-0.03)

Corners

Over 8 55.62%
Equal 8 11.98% (+0.02)
Under 8 32.4% (-0.03)
Over 9 43.62% (-0.03)
Equal 9 12% (+0.02)
Under 9 44.38%
Over 10.5 32.62% (-0.04)
Under 10.5 67.39% (+0.05)

Ebbsfleet Goals

Over 1.5 50.01%
Under 1.5 49.99%
Over 2.5 23.96% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 76.04% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 9.69% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 90.31% (-0.01)

Horsham Goals

Over 0.5 56.48% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 43.52% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 23.71% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 76.29% (+0.05)
Over 2.5 7.77% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 92.23% (+0.03)
Over 3.5 2.03%
Under 3.5 97.97%

Score analysis

Ebbsfleet 54.2%
Draw 24.02%
Horsham 21.78%
Ebbsfleet
1-0 @ 11.51% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 9.99% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 9.7% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 5.63% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 5.11%
3-2 @ 2.63% (+0.01)
Other @ 9.63% (+0.02)
Total : 54.2%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.31%
0-0 @ 7.05%
2-2 @ 4.7% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.06%
Total : 24.02%
Horsham
0-1 @ 6.36% (+0.03)
1-2 @ 5.58% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 3.03%
1-3 @ 1.85%
2-3 @ 1.66%
0-3 @ 1.33% (-0.03)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 21.78%

Head to Head

National League South Gameweek 35
Feb 24, 2026 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT The Camping World Community Stadium (Horsham, West Sussex)
  • Rhys Murphy 4' goal
  • goal Dominic Samuel 53'
National League South
Nov 25, 2025 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Dominic Samuel 90'+2' goal
  • goal Lucas Rodrigues 26'
  • goal Lucas Rodrigues 72'