National League South Gameweek 4
Aug 22, 2026 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Ironmongery Direct Stadium
  • Vladimir Paternoster 86' goal
  • goal Greg Luer 30'
  • goal Greg Luer 72'

Braintree Town vs Horsham - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Braintree Town

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Aug 15, 2026 3.00pm
Braintree 3 - 2 Chesham
Goals scored
4
Top scorer
Anisius Lewis

Horsham

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Aug 18, 2026 7.45pm
Horsham 2 - 0 Hampton
Goals scored
5
Top scorer
Greg Luer

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Horsham win with a probability of 38.04%. A win for Braintree Town had a probability of 35.1% and a draw had a probability of 26.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Horsham win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.31%) and 0-2 (6.35%). The likeliest Braintree Town win was 1-0 (9.88%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.

Result

Braintree Town 35.1% ▲ (+0.43)
Draw 26.81% ▼ (-0.02)
Horsham 38.04% ▼ (-0.47)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.17% ▼ (-0.06)

Goals

Over 1.5 71.21% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 1.5 28.79% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 2.5 46.11% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 2.5 53.89% ▼ (-0.11)
Over 3.5 24.39% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 3.5 75.61% ▼ (-0.10)
Over 4.5 12.9% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 4.5 87.1% ▼ (-0.08)

First Half Winner

Braintree Town 29.97% ▲ (+0.40)
Draw 42.39% ▼ (-0.30)
Horsham 27.64% ▼ (-0.10)

Team To Score First

Braintree Town 44.58% ▲ (+0.58)
No Goal 8.4% ▼ (-0.02)
Horsham 47.02% ▼ (-0.56)

Corners

Over 8 53.9% ▼ (-0.13)
Equal 8 11.98% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 8 34.12% ▲ (+0.10)
Over 9 42.07% ▼ (-0.11)
Equal 9 11.83%
Under 9 46.1% ▲ (+0.13)
Over 10.5 31.35% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 10.5 68.65% ▲ (+0.11)

Braintree Town Goals

Over 1.5 33.28% ▲ (+0.38)
Under 1.5 66.72% ▼ (-0.38)
Over 2.5 12.07% ▲ (+0.31)
Under 2.5 87.93% ▼ (-0.30)
Over 3.5 3.65% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 3.5 96.35% ▼ (-0.10)

Horsham Goals

Over 0.5 69.51% ▼ (-0.29)
Under 0.5 30.49% ▲ (+0.28)
Over 1.5 35.28% ▼ (-0.30)
Under 1.5 64.72% ▲ (+0.30)
Over 2.5 13.65% ▼ (-0.17)
Under 2.5 86.35% ▲ (+0.17)
Over 3.5 4.08% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 3.5 95.92% ▲ (+0.07)

Score analysis

Braintree Town 35.1%
Draw 26.82%
Horsham 38.04%
Braintree Town
1-0 @ 9.88% ▲ (+0.06)
2-1 @ 7.91% ▲ (+0.07)
2-0 @ 5.98% ▲ (+0.05)
3-1 @ 3.09% ▲ (+0.07)
3-0 @ 2.55% ▲ (+0.06)
3-2 @ 2.05% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 3.64% ▲ (+0.10)
Total : 35.1%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.76% ▼ (-0.05)
0-0 @ 8.4% ▼ (-0.02)
2-2 @ 4.92% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 26.82%
Horsham
0-1 @ 10.47% ▼ (-0.07)
1-2 @ 8.31% ▼ (-0.08)
0-2 @ 6.35% ▼ (-0.13)
1-3 @ 3.5% ▼ (-0.05)
0-3 @ 2.94% ▼ (-0.07)
2-3 @ 2.4% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 4.07% ▼ (-0.06)
Total : 38.04%