National League North | Gameweek 39

Mar 18, 2023 at 3pm UK

The Jakemans Stadium

Boston
1 - 0
Bradford Park Av

Pollock (51')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Coverage of the National League North clash between Boston United and Bradford Park Avenue.

Form, Standings, Stats

Boston United

All competitions

Last Game: Southport 1-1 Boston
Tuesday, March 14 at 7.45pm in National League North

Goals
for

Top scorers

Bradford Park Avenue

All competitions

Last Game: Telford 4-0 Bradford Park Av
Tuesday, March 7 at 7.45pm in National League North

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boston United win with a probability of 57.76%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Bradford Park Avenue had a probability of 19.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Boston United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.06%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.68%), while for a Bradford Park Avenue win it was 0-1 (5.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Boston United in this match.

Result
Boston United	Draw	Bradford Park Avenue
57.76% ( 0.19)	22.52% ( 0.01)	19.72% ( -0.2)

Both teams to score 52.77% (

-0.35)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.9% (

-0.31)

46.09% (

0.31)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.6% (

-0.29)

68.39% (

0.29)

Boston United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.32% (

-0.04)

15.68% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.27% (

-0.08)

44.73% (

0.08)

Bradford Park Avenue Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.59% (

-0.38)

37.41% (

0.38)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.8% (

-0.38)

74.19% (

0.38)

Score Analysis

Boston United 57.74%

Bradford Park Avenue 19.72%

Draw 22.52%

Boston United	Draw	Bradford Park Avenue
1-0 @ 10.86% ( 0.12) 2-0 @ 10.06% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 9.9% ( -0) 3-0 @ 6.22% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 6.11% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.01% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 2.88% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.83% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.39% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 1.07% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.05% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.36% Total : 57.74%	1-1 @ 10.68% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.87% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 4.87% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.12% Total : 22.52%	0-1 @ 5.77% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 5.25% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 2.84% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.72% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.61% Total : 19.72%