Conference League
Aug 13, 2026 7.30pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Fir Park
  • Ibrahim Said 47' goal
  • Ibrahim Said 61' goal
  • yellowcard Alfie Cicale 43'
  • yellowcard Alexander Ring  57'

Motherwell vs HJK Helsinki - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Motherwell

All competitions
Conference League
Last game
Aug 6, 2026 5.00pm
HJK Helsinki 1 - 1 Motherwell

HJK Helsinki

All competitions
Conference League
Last game
Aug 6, 2026 5.00pm
HJK Helsinki 1 - 1 Motherwell

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HJK Helsinki win with a probability of 38.54%. A win for Motherwell had a probability of 37.22% and a draw had a probability of 24.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a HJK Helsinki win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.88%) and 0-2 (5.71%). The likeliest Motherwell win was 2-1 (8.23%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.

Result

Motherwell 37.22% (+0.01)
Draw 24.24% (+0.02)
HJK Helsinki 38.54%

Both Teams to Score: 

57% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 79.1% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 20.9% (-0.06)
Over 2.5 57.08% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 42.92% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 34.65% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 65.35% (-0.04)
Over 4.5 20.67% (+0.04)
Under 4.5 79.33% (-0.04)

First Half Winner

Motherwell 28.44% (-0.10)
Draw 38.6% (+0.01)
HJK Helsinki 32.96% (+0.10)

Team To Score First

Motherwell 44.59% (-0.01)
No Goal 5.58% (-0.01)
HJK Helsinki 49.83% (+0.02)

Corners

Over 8 55.62% (-0.10)
Equal 8 11.73%
Under 8 32.65% (+0.09)
Over 9 43.88% (-0.09)
Equal 9 11.74%
Under 9 44.38% (+0.10)
Over 10.5 33.11% (-0.08)
Under 10.5 66.89% (+0.08)

Motherwell Goals

Over 1.5 40.62% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 59.38% (-0.05)
Over 2.5 17.96% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 82.04% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 6.44% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 93.56% (-0.02)

HJK Helsinki Goals

Over 0.5 72.28% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 27.72% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 41.37% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 58.63% (-0.03)
Over 2.5 18.78% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 81.22% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 7.03%
Under 3.5 92.97%

Score analysis

Motherwell 37.23%
Draw 24.23%
HJK Helsinki 38.54%
Motherwell
2-1 @ 8.23%
1-0 @ 7.44% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 5.5% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 3.99%
3-0 @ 3.04%
3-2 @ 2.87% (+0.02)
Other @ 6.16% (+0.01)
Total : 37.23%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.81%
2-2 @ 5.94%
0-0 @ 5.58% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.62% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.28% (+0.02)
Total : 24.23%
HJK Helsinki
1-2 @ 8.07%
0-1 @ 7.88%
0-2 @ 5.71% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 4.05%
0-3 @ 3.09%
2-3 @ 2.99%
Other @ 6.75% (-0.01)
Total : 38.54%

Head to Head

Conference League
Aug 6, 2026 5.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Bolt Arena
  • Miska Ylitolva 56' yellowcard
  • Liam Möller 59' yellowcard
  • Teemu Pukki 72' goal
  • yellowcard Alex Lowry 25'
  • yellowcard Oscar Priestman 53'
  • goal Tawanda Maswanhise 64'
  • yellowcard Jake Girdwood-Reich 82'