Club Friendlies 3
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Aug 1, 2026 10.30am
2
0
HT :
1
0
FT
Estádio Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas
-
37'
-
56'
Moreirense vs Amarante - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Moreirense win with a probability of 45.5%. A draw had a probability of 28.01% and a win for Amarante had a probability of 26.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Moreirense win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.02%) and 2-0 (7.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.46%) , while for a Amarante win it was 0-1 (8.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.
Result
Moreirense
45.5%
▲
(+0.01)
Draw
28.01%
▼
(-0.06)
Amarante
26.49%
▲
(+0.05)
Both Teams to Score:
49.57%
▲
(+0.18)
Goals
Over 1.5
70.29%
▲
(+0.21)
Under 1.5
29.71%
▼
(-0.20)
Over 2.5
45.86%
▲
(+0.21)
Under 2.5
54.14%
▼
(-0.21)
Over 3.5
24.91%
▲
(+0.13)
Under 3.5
75.09%
▼
(-0.15)
Over 4.5
13.96%
▲
(+0.10)
Under 4.5
86.04%
▼
(-0.09)
First Half Winner
Moreirense
29.45%
▲
(+0.06)
Draw
50.67%
▼
(-0.05)
Amarante
19.88%
Team To Score First
Moreirense
52.74%
▼
(-0.04)
No Goal
10.25%
▼
(-0.08)
Amarante
37.01%
▲
(+0.11)
Corners
Over 8
50.42%
▼
(-0.40)
Equal 8
12.22%
Under 8
37.36%
▲
(+0.40)
Over 9
38.66%
▼
(-0.38)
Equal 9
11.76%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 9
49.58%
▲
(+0.40)
Over 10.5
28.28%
▼
(-0.33)
Under 10.5
71.72%
▲
(+0.32)
Moreirense Goals
Over 1.5
41.1%
▲
(+0.11)
Under 1.5
58.9%
▼
(-0.11)
Over 2.5
17.98%
▲
(+0.09)
Under 2.5
82.02%
▼
(-0.10)
Over 3.5
6.35%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 3.5
93.65%
▼
(-0.04)
Amarante Goals
Over 0.5
60.27%
▲
(+0.17)
Under 0.5
39.73%
▼
(-0.17)
Over 1.5
26.52%
▲
(+0.17)
Under 1.5
73.48%
▼
(-0.16)
Over 2.5
8.48%
▲
(+0.05)
Under 2.5
91.52%
▼
(-0.05)
Over 3.5
2.5%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 3.5
97.5%
▼
(-0.04)
Score analysis
Moreirense
45.51%
Draw
28.02%
Amarante
26.5%
Moreirense
1-0
@
11.36%
▼
(-0.07)
2-1 @ 9.02% ▲ (+0.03)
2-0 @ 7.8% ▼ (-0.04)
3-1 @ 4.14% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 4.01%
3-2 @ 2.84% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 6.34% ▲ (+0.04)
Total : 45.51%
2-1 @ 9.02% ▲ (+0.03)
2-0 @ 7.8% ▼ (-0.04)
3-1 @ 4.14% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 4.01%
3-2 @ 2.84% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 6.34% ▲ (+0.04)
Total : 45.51%
Draw
1-1
@
12.46%
▼
(-0.01)
0-0 @ 10.25% ▼ (-0.08)
2-2 @ 4.66% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 28.02%
0-0 @ 10.25% ▼ (-0.08)
2-2 @ 4.66% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 28.02%
Amarante
0-1
@
8.13%
▼
(-0.04)
1-2 @ 6.39% ▲ (+0.03)
0-2 @ 4.15% ▲ (+0.04)
1-3 @ 2.16%
2-3 @ 1.64% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.54% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 2.49% ▲ (+0.04)
Total : 26.5%
1-2 @ 6.39% ▲ (+0.03)
0-2 @ 4.15% ▲ (+0.04)
1-3 @ 2.16%
2-3 @ 1.64% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.54% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 2.49% ▲ (+0.04)
Total : 26.5%