Major League Soccer
Oct 18, 2026 1.30am
Children's Mercy Park

Sporting Kansas City vs Real Salt Lake - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Sporting Kansas City

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Oct 15, 2026 1.30am
Nashville 4 - 0 Kansas
Goals scored
35
Top scorer
Dejan Joveljić

Real Salt Lake

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Oct 15, 2026 2.30am
Salt Lake 1 - 1 Earthquakes
Goals scored
42
Top scorer
Sergi Solans

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Sporting Kansas City win with a probability of 40.28%. A win for Real Salt Lake has a probability of 35.12% and a draw has a probability of 24.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Kansas City win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.29%) and 2-0 (6.74%). The likeliest Real Salt Lake win is 0-1 (7.86%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.39%).

Result

Sporting Kansas City 40.28% ▼ (-0.05)
Draw 24.64%
Real Salt Lake 35.12% ▲ (+0.05)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.31% ▲ (+0.11)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.75% ▲ (+0.10)
Under 1.5 23.25% ▼ (-0.09)
Over 2.5 53.43% ▲ (+0.15)
Under 2.5 46.54% ▼ (-0.18)
Over 3.5 31.73% ▲ (+0.16)
Under 3.5 68.27% ▼ (-0.11)
Over 4.5 17.99% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 4.5 82.01% ▼ (-0.11)

First Half Winner

Sporting Kansas City 28.22% ▲ (+0.08)
Draw 42.14% ▲ (+0.08)
Real Salt Lake 29.64% ▼ (-0.15)

Team To Score First

Sporting Kansas City 48.27% ▲ (+0.02)
No Goal 6.14% ▼ (-0.04)
Real Salt Lake 45.59% ▲ (+0.03)

Corners

Over 8 64.04% ▼ (-0.31)
Equal 8 10.76% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 8 25.19% ▲ (+0.29)
Over 9 52.51% ▼ (-0.31)
Equal 9 11.54%
Under 9 35.96% ▲ (+0.32)
Over 10.5 41.19% ▼ (-0.28)
Under 10.5 58.81% ▲ (+0.28)

Sporting Kansas City Goals

Over 1.5 40.82% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 1.5 59.18% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 2.5 17.23% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 2.5 82.77% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 3.5 5.97% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 3.5 94.03% ▼ (-0.04)

Real Salt Lake Goals

Over 0.5 68.89% ▲ (+0.13)
Under 0.5 31.11% ▼ (-0.13)
Over 1.5 37.1% ▲ (+0.15)
Under 1.5 62.9% ▼ (-0.15)
Over 2.5 15.53% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 2.5 84.47% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 3.5 5.51% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 3.5 94.49% ▼ (-0.05)

Score analysis

Sporting Kansas City 40.28%
Draw 24.65%
Real Salt Lake 35.11%
Sporting Kansas City
1-0 @ 9.29% ▼ (-0.04)
2-1 @ 8.29%
2-0 @ 6.74% ▼ (-0.05)
3-1 @ 4.25% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 3.11% ▼ (-0.03)
3-2 @ 2.73% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 5.87% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 40.28%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.39% ▼ (-0.02)
0-0 @ 6.14% ▼ (-0.04)
2-2 @ 5.85% ▲ (+0.03)
3-3 @ 1.17% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.1% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 24.65%
Real Salt Lake
0-1 @ 7.86% ▼ (-0.01)
1-2 @ 7.81% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 5.18%
1-3 @ 3.66% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.71% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2.48%
Other @ 5.41% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 35.11%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
Apr 4, 2026 9.30pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT America First Field
  • Diego Luna 4' goal
  • Sergi Solans 55' goal
  • Victor Olatunji 72' yellowcard
  • Sam Junqua 72' yellowcard
  • Zavier Gozo 82' goal
  • Griffin Dillon 84' yellowcard
  • Dominik Marczuk 84' yellowcard
  • Jesus Barea 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Diego Borges 46'
  • goal Dejan Joveljić 59'
  • yellowcard Jacob Bartlett 64'
  • yellowcard Zorhan Bassong 64'
  • yellowcard Stephen Afrifa 74'
Major League Soccer MLS Playoffs
Sep 14, 2025 2.30am
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Major League Soccer
Jun 29, 2025 1.30am
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Major League Soccer
Jun 20, 2024 1.30am
3
4
HT : 2 4
FT Children's Mercy Park
  • Stephen Afrifa 28' goal
  • Stephen Afrifa 28' goal
  • William Agade 70' goal
  • William Agade 70' goal
  • Zorhan Bassong 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Zorhan Bassong 90'+2' yellowcard
  • William Agade 90'+5' goal
  • William Agade 90'+5' goal
  • goal Andres Gomez 14'
  • goal Andres Gomez 14'
  • goal Anderson Julio 33'
  • goal Anderson Julio 33'
  • goal Andres Gomez 51'
  • goal Andres Gomez 51'
  • yellowcard Brayan Vera 77'
  • yellowcard Brayan Vera 77'
  • goal Matt Crooks 84'
  • goal Matt Crooks 84'
Major League Soccer
May 5, 2024 2.30am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Rio Tinto Stadium
  • Emeka Eneli 14' yellowcard
  • Emeka Eneli 14' yellowcard
  • Brayan Vera 47' yellowcard
  • Brayan Vera 47' yellowcard
  • Cristian Arango 81' goal
  • Cristian Arango 81' goal
  • Cristian Arango 90' yellowcard
  • Cristian Arango 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Memo Rodriguez 90'+4'
  • yellowcard Memo Rodriguez 90'+4'
Major League Soccer
Oct 8, 2023 2.30am
2
3
HT : 0 4
FT Rio Tinto Stadium
  • Justen Glad 3' redcard
  • Justen Glad 3' redcard
  • Brayan Vera 57' yellowcard
  • Brayan Vera 58' yellowcard
  • Brayan Vera 81' goal
  • Brayan Vera 81' goal
  • Jefferson Savarino 89' goal
  • Jefferson Savarino 89' goal
  • Zac MacMath 90'+7' yellowcard
  • Zac MacMath 90'+7' yellowcard
  • goal Erik Thommy 4'
  • goal Erik Thommy 4'
  • goal Johnny Russell 29'
  • goal Johnny Russell 29'
  • yellowcard Nemanja Radoja 38'
  • yellowcard Nemanja Radoja 38'
  • goal Alan Pulido 77'
  • goal Alan Pulido 77'
  • yellowcard Tim Melia 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Tim Melia 90'+2'