Major League Soccer
Oct 2, 2026 2.30am
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Seattle Stadium
  • Sebastian Gomez 51' goal
  • Nouhou 61' yellowcard
  • Cristian Roldán 90' goal
  • goal André Luiz 44'
  • yellowcard Jacob Bartlett 90'+1'

Seattle Sounders vs Sporting Kansas City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Seattle Sounders

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Sep 27, 2026 1.30am
Seattle 3 - 1 Minnesota Utd
Goals scored
35
Top scorer
Paul Rothrock

Sporting Kansas City

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Sep 27, 2026 1.30am
Houston 0 - 2 Kansas
Goals scored
32
Top scorer
Dejan Joveljić

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Seattle Sounders win with a probability of 61.9%. A draw had a probability of 19.62% and a win for Sporting Kansas City had a probability of 18.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Seattle Sounders win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.2%) and 1-0 (7.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.63%) , while for a Sporting Kansas City win it was 1-2 (5.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.

Result

Seattle Sounders 61.9%
Draw 19.62% ▼ (-0.42)
Sporting Kansas City 18.5% ▲ (+0.43)

Both Teams to Score: 

60.07% ▲ (+2.89)

Goals

Over 1.5 84.58% ▲ (+2.15)
Under 1.5 15.42% ▼ (-2.14)
Over 2.5 65.54% ▲ (+3.03)
Under 2.5 34.46% ▼ (-3.02)
Over 3.5 42.82% ▲ (+3.29)
Under 3.5 57.18% ▼ (-3.29)
Over 4.5 28.83% ▲ (+2.47)
Under 4.5 71.17% ▼ (-2.47)

First Half Winner

Seattle Sounders 48% ▼ (-0.47)
Draw 34.51% ▲ (+0.45)
Sporting Kansas City 17.49% ▲ (+0.01)

Team To Score First

Seattle Sounders 66.57% ▲ (+0.51)
No Goal 3.71% ▼ (-0.71)
Sporting Kansas City 29.72% ▲ (+0.19)

Corners

Over 8 52.74% ▼ (-10.86)
Equal 8 11.36% ▲ (+0.83)
Under 8 35.91% ▲ (+10.05)
Over 9 41.61% ▼ (-10.75)
Equal 9 11.13% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 9 47.26% ▲ (+10.86)
Over 10.5 31.54% ▼ (-9.82)
Under 10.5 68.46% ▲ (+9.81)

Seattle Sounders Goals

Over 1.5 63.3% ▲ (+1.85)
Under 1.5 36.7% ▼ (-1.85)
Over 2.5 37.88% ▲ (+1.98)
Under 2.5 62.12% ▼ (-1.98)
Over 3.5 18.77% ▲ (+1.42)
Under 3.5 81.23% ▼ (-1.43)

Sporting Kansas City Goals

Over 0.5 55.15% ▲ (+1.29)
Under 0.5 44.85% ▼ (-1.29)
Over 1.5 26.04% ▲ (+1.62)
Under 1.5 73.96% ▼ (-1.63)
Over 2.5 9.27% ▲ (+0.91)
Under 2.5 90.73% ▼ (-0.90)
Over 3.5 2.74% ▲ (+0.39)
Under 3.5 97.26% ▼ (-0.38)

Score analysis

Seattle Sounders 61.9%
Draw 19.63%
Sporting Kansas City 18.51%
Seattle Sounders
2-1 @ 9.84% ▼ (-0.10)
2-0 @ 8.2% ▼ (-0.58)
1-0 @ 7.94% ▼ (-1.08)
3-1 @ 6.83% ▲ (+0.34)
3-0 @ 6.64% ▼ (-0.29)
3-2 @ 4.05% ▲ (+0.32)
Other @ 18.4% ▲ (+1.39)
Total : 61.9%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.63% ▼ (-0.25)
2-2 @ 5.33% ▲ (+0.35)
0-0 @ 3.71% ▼ (-0.71)
3-3 @ 1.59% ▲ (+0.19)
Other @ 0.37% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 19.63%
Sporting Kansas City
1-2 @ 5.19% ▲ (+0.13)
0-1 @ 3.81% ▼ (-0.32)
0-2 @ 2.2% ▼ (-0.07)
2-3 @ 2.05% ▲ (+0.20)
1-3 @ 1.83% ▲ (+0.14)
0-3 @ 1.06% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.37% ▲ (+0.36)
Total : 18.51%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
May 2, 2026 7.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Children's Mercy Park
  • Dejan Joveljić 18' goal
  • Calvin Harris 74' yellowcard
  • Taylor Calheira 84' yellowcard
  • goal Paul Rothrock 2'
  • yellowcard Paul Arriola 67'
  • yellowcard Albert Rusnák 67'
  • yellowcard Osaze De Rosario 76'
  • yellowcard Hassani Dotson 86'
  • yellowcard Peter Kingston 86'
  • yellowcard Peter Kingston 87'
Major League Soccer MLS Playoffs
Aug 25, 2025 2.15am
5
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Major League Soccer
Jul 13, 2025 1.30am
2
3
HT : 0 0
FT
Major League Soccer
Sep 16, 2024 12.15am
2
0
HT : 4 0
FT CenturyLink Field
  • Jackson Ragen 19' goal
  • Jackson Ragen 19' goal
  • Reed Baker-Whiting 29' yellowcard
  • Reed Baker-Whiting 29' yellowcard
  • Paul Rothrock 40' goal
  • Paul Rothrock 40' goal
  • yellowcard Daniel Salloi 38'
  • yellowcard Daniel Salloi 38'
  • yellowcard Zorhan Bassong 46'
  • yellowcard Zorhan Bassong 46'
Major League Soccer
Jun 9, 2024 1.30am
2
1
HT : 2 2
FT Children's Mercy Park
  • Johnny Russell 19' goal
  • Johnny Russell 19' goal
  • Jacob Davis 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Jacob Davis 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Johnny Russell 71' yellowcard
  • Obed Vargas 71' yellowcard
  • Alenis Vargas 85' goal
  • Alenis Vargas 85' goal
  • Khiry Shelton 90'+4' yellowcard
  • Khiry Shelton 90'+4' yellowcard
  • goal Jordan Morris 13'
  • goal Jordan Morris 13'
  • yellowcard Reed Baker-Whiting 60'
  • yellowcard Reed Baker-Whiting 60'
  • yellowcard Yeimar Gomez Andrade 71'
  • yellowcard Johnny Russell 71'
  • redcard Reed Baker-Whiting 73'
  • redcard Reed Baker-Whiting 73'
Major League Soccer
May 7, 2023 9.30pm
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT Stubhub Center
  • Nicolas Lodeiro 66' goal
  • goal Erik Thommy 4'
  • goal Alan Pulido 31'