Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 50.87%. A win for Colorado Rapids had a probability of 27.35% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.69%) and 2-0 (6.62%). The likeliest Colorado Rapids win was 1-2 (6.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| San Jose Earthquakes | Draw | Colorado Rapids |
| 50.87% | 21.79% | 27.35% |
| Both teams to score 65.11% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.79% | 34.21% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.9% | 56.1% |
| San Jose Earthquakes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.19% | 13.81% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.85% | 41.15% |
| Colorado Rapids Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.54% | 24.46% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.1% | 58.9% |
| Score Analysis |
| San Jose Earthquakes | Draw | Colorado Rapids |
| 2-1 @ 9.32% 1-0 @ 6.69% 2-0 @ 6.62% 3-1 @ 6.15% 3-0 @ 4.37% 3-2 @ 4.33% 4-1 @ 3.05% 4-0 @ 2.16% 4-2 @ 2.14% 5-1 @ 1.21% 4-3 @ 1.01% Other @ 3.82% Total : 50.87% | 1-1 @ 9.42% 2-2 @ 6.56% 0-0 @ 3.38% 3-3 @ 2.03% Other @ 0.4% Total : 21.79% | 1-2 @ 6.63% 0-1 @ 4.76% 0-2 @ 3.35% 1-3 @ 3.11% 2-3 @ 3.08% 0-3 @ 1.57% 1-4 @ 1.1% 2-4 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.67% Total : 27.35% |