Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles Galaxy win with a probability of 46.94%. A win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 30.38% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles Galaxy win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.94%) and 2-0 (6.37%). The likeliest San Jose Earthquakes win was 1-2 (7.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Los Angeles Galaxy would win this match.
Result | ||
Los Angeles Galaxy | Draw | San Jose Earthquakes |
46.94% | 22.68% | 30.38% |
Both teams to score 64.12% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.54% | 36.46% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.4% | 58.61% |
Los Angeles Galaxy Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.03% | 15.98% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.72% | 45.28% |
San Jose Earthquakes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.31% | 23.69% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.19% | 57.81% |
Score Analysis |
Los Angeles Galaxy | Draw | San Jose Earthquakes |
2-1 @ 9.17% 1-0 @ 6.94% 2-0 @ 6.37% 3-1 @ 5.61% 3-2 @ 4.04% 3-0 @ 3.89% 4-1 @ 2.57% 4-2 @ 1.85% 4-0 @ 1.79% 5-1 @ 0.94% Other @ 3.79% Total : 46.94% | 1-1 @ 10% 2-2 @ 6.6% 0-0 @ 3.79% 3-3 @ 1.94% Other @ 0.36% Total : 22.68% | 1-2 @ 7.2% 0-1 @ 5.45% 0-2 @ 3.93% 1-3 @ 3.46% 2-3 @ 3.17% 0-3 @ 1.88% 1-4 @ 1.24% 2-4 @ 1.14% Other @ 2.92% Total : 30.38% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 22 | 15 | 7 | 18 |
2 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 16 |
3 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 15 |
4 | Columbus Crew | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 14 |
5 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 13 |
6 | Toronto | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 13 |
7 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 11 |
8 | New York City FCNY City | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 11 |
9 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 11 |
10 | CF MontrealMontreal | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 11 |
11 | DC United | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 10 |
12 | Orlando City | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 9 |
13 | Chicago Fire | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 9 |
14 | Nashville SCNashville | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 7 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 14 | -9 | 4 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 21 | 15 | 6 | 18 |
2 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 16 |
3 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 15 |
4 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 15 |
5 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 14 |
6 | Houston DynamoHouston | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 13 |
7 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 12 |
8 | St Louis City | 9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 12 |
9 | Austin FCAustin | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 12 |
10 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 11 |
11 | Portland TimbersPortland | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 10 |
12 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 6 |
13 | Dallas | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 5 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 3 |