Leagues Cup
Aug 5, 2026 1.30am
1
2
HT : 1 2
FT Allianz Field
  • Tomás Chancalay 34' goal
  • Anthony Markanich Jr. 68' yellowcard
  • Devin Padelford 68' yellowcard
  • goal Guilherme Castilho 22'
  • goal Óscar Estupiñán 38'
  • yellowcard Jesús Murillo 76'
  • yellowcard Ettson Ayón 90'+1'

Minnesota United vs Juarez - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Minnesota United

All competitions

Juarez

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 42.76%. A win for Juarez had a probability of 30.35% and a draw had a probability of 26.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (7.36%). The likeliest Juarez win was 0-1 (9.43%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.

Result

Minnesota United 42.76% (-0.43)
Draw 26.89% (-0.15)
Juarez 30.35% (+0.58)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.24% (+0.27)

Goals

Over 1.5 69.76% (+0.24)
Under 1.5 30.24% (-0.24)
Over 2.5 45.25% (+0.32)
Under 2.5 54.75% (-0.32)
Over 3.5 24.36% (+0.19)
Under 3.5 75.64% (-0.19)
Over 4.5 13.39% (+0.08)
Under 4.5 86.61% (-0.08)

First Half Winner

Minnesota United 36.18% (-0.50)
Draw 41% (+0.16)
Juarez 22.82% (+0.34)

Team To Score First

Minnesota United 52.66% (-0.75)
No Goal 9.16% (-0.11)
Juarez 38.18% (+0.86)

Corners

Over 8 65.1% (+0.60)
Equal 8 10.29% (-0.02)
Under 8 24.62% (-0.59)
Over 9 53.99% (+0.56)
Equal 9 11.1% (+0.04)
Under 9 34.91% (-0.60)
Over 10.5 42.98% (+0.46)
Under 10.5 57.02% (-0.46)

Minnesota United Goals

Over 1.5 38.52% (-0.20)
Under 1.5 61.48% (+0.20)
Over 2.5 16.16% (-0.18)
Under 2.5 83.84% (+0.19)
Over 3.5 5.7% (-0.17)
Under 3.5 94.3% (+0.18)

Juarez Goals

Over 0.5 62.66% (+0.51)
Under 0.5 37.34% (-0.51)
Over 1.5 28.71% (+0.72)
Under 1.5 71.29% (-0.71)
Over 2.5 10.12% (+0.37)
Under 2.5 89.88% (-0.38)
Over 3.5 2.96% (+0.17)
Under 3.5 97.04% (-0.16)

Score analysis

Minnesota United 42.77%
Draw 26.89%
Juarez 30.37%
Minnesota United
1-0 @ 11.68% (-0.09)
2-1 @ 8.52% (-0.07)
2-0 @ 7.36% (-0.06)
3-1 @ 3.86% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 3.59% (-0.06)
3-2 @ 2.18% (+0.03)
Other @ 5.58% (-0.17)
Total : 42.77%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.14% (-0.13)
0-0 @ 9.16% (-0.11)
2-2 @ 4.64% (+0.07)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.89%
Juarez
0-1 @ 9.43%
1-2 @ 6.78% (+0.17)
0-2 @ 4.99% (+0.09)
1-3 @ 2.48% (+0.07)
0-3 @ 2.01% (+0.08)
2-3 @ 1.84% (+0.04)
Other @ 2.84% (+0.16)
Total : 30.37%