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Women's Super League | Gameweek 18
May 4, 2022 at 7pm UK
Academy Stadium

Man City Women
6 - 0
B'ham Women

Stanway (58', 64'), Hemp (61'), Kennedy (76'), Kelly (83'), Coombs (87')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Preview: Manchester City Women vs. Birmingham City Women - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Women's Super League clash between Manchester City Women and Birmingham City Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Manchester City Women will be looking for a 12th consecutive victory in all competitions when they play host to Birmingham City Women on Wednesday.

The visitors, meanwhile, will be relegated from the Women's Super League if they do not pick up three points at the Academy Stadium.


Match preview

Manchester City Women players celebrate after Everton's Simone Magill scored an own goal and their first goal on March 23, 2022© Reuters

Man City are currently embroiled in a fierce battle with their local rivals Manchester United for the third and final Champions League qualification spot.

The Citizens currently sit in fourth place - one point adrift of the Red Devils - but after playing one game less, Gareth Taylor's side could move back into the top three with a win on Wednesday.

Momentum is certainly in their favour as Man City have won their last 11 matches in all competitions, with seven of those victories coming in the league.

For the fifth time in their last six matches, the Citizens scored score at least four goals in a match after they thrashed Aston Villa 7-2 on Saturday.

Four of those goals belonged to Khadija Shaw, while Caroline Weir, Alex Greenwood and Lauren Hemp all found the net, and a couple more displays like that would secure Man City Champions League football for next season.

Birmingham City Women's Louise Quinn celebrates scoring their first goal on February 6, 2022© Reuters

Birmingham, meanwhile, are fighting for survival at the bottom of the WSL and although their relegation rivals Leicester City have played a game more, they trail the Foxes by five points.

The Blues know that if they are to beat the drop then they must beat Man City and their city neighbours Aston Villa, while Leicester have to drop points against Tottenham Hotspur on the final day of the season.

Darren Carter's charges have demonstrated their fighting qualities in their last three games after taking four points from matches against Everton and Brighton & Hove Albion before losing narrowly to title-chasers Chelsea on Sunday.

Chelsea required a 71st-minute spot-kick from Pernille Harder to beat Blues 1-0, and although Birmingham competed with one of the best sides in England, the battling performance will be of little comfort to a team that are desperate for points.

If Birmingham are to beat Man City on Wednesday then they must do something that they have not achieved since the end of 2020, and that is to win consecutive away matches in the WSL.

Manchester City Women Women's Super League form:
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W

Manchester City Women form (all competitions):
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W

Birmingham City Women Women's Super League form:
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • D
  • W
  • L

Birmingham City Women form (all competitions):
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • D
  • W
  • L



Team News

Manchester City Women's Khadija Shaw celebrates scoring their first goal with teammates on January 23, 2022© Reuters

The hosts are still without the services of Steph Houghton and Esme Morgan, who are both out due to injury issues.

Jess Park and Vicky Losada could return before the end of the season, but Wednesday's contest will come too soon for the pair.

After coming into the side at the weekend to score four goals, Shaw will continue to operate in a front three alongside Hemp and Chloe Kelly.

As for the visitors, Lucy Whipp returned from injury to feature as a second-half substitute against Chelsea and the 26-year-old is expected to be on the bench once again on Wednesday.

Cecilie Sandvej is also nearing a comeback, but it remains to be seen if the Danish international is fit enough to appear in midweek.

After seeing his team compete with the league leaders on Sunday, Carter may be tempted to name an unchanged lineup for the Man City clash.

Manchester City Women possible starting lineup:
Roebuck; Bronze, Kennedy, Greenwood, Stokes; Weir, Stanway, Walsh; Kelly, Hemp, Shaw

Birmingham City Women possible starting lineup:
Ramsey; Cowie, Scott, Lo. Quinn, Lawley, Robertson; Sarri, Finn, Murray; Lu. Quinn, Pennock


SM words green background

We say: Manchester City Women 3-0 Birmingham City Women

Birmingham know they must win to take the relegation battle to the final day, but we think that they may fall short in midweek when they face a Man City side that are currently in imperious form.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 1.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 1.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Women win with a probability of 95.8%. A draw had a probability of 3.5% and a win for Birmingham City Women had a probability of 0.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Women win was 3-0 with a probability of 14.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (14.94%) and 5-0 (11.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (1.56%), while for a Birmingham City Women win it was 0-1 (0.39%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City Women would win this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Man City Women vs B'ham Women

Manchester City Women
90.9%
Draw
9.1%
Birmingham City Women
0.0%
11
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