Women's Champions League Gameweek 3
Oct 29, 2026 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Etihad Stadium
  • Alex Greenwood 58' yellowcard
  • Khadija Monifa Shaw 85' goal
  • goal Tara Cynthia Hermine Elimbi Gilbert 88'

Manchester City Women vs Paris Saint-Germain Women - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Manchester City Women

All competitions
Women's Champions League
Last game
Oct 1, 2026 8.00pm
Man City 1 - 1 Real Madrid

Paris Saint-Germain Women

All competitions
Women's Champions League
Last game
Oct 1, 2026 8.00pm
PSG 5 - 0 OH Leuven W

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Women win with a probability of 48.47%. A win for Paris Saint-Germain Women had a probability of 27.51% and a draw had a probability of 24.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Women win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.6%) and 2-0 (7.47%). The likeliest Paris Saint-Germain Women win was 1-2 (6.53%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.

Result

Manchester City Women 48.47% ▼ (-0.07)
Draw 24.02% ▼ (-0.02)
Paris Saint-Germain Women 27.51% ▲ (+0.07)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.5% ▲ (+0.18)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.93% ▲ (+0.16)
Under 1.5 22.07% ▼ (-0.15)
Over 2.5 56.05% ▲ (+0.15)
Under 2.5 43.95% ▼ (-0.15)
Over 3.5 34.5% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 3.5 65.5% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 4.5 22.07%
Under 4.5 77.93%

First Half Winner

Manchester City Women 39.99% ▼ (-0.09)
Draw 34.16% ▲ (+0.07)
Paris Saint-Germain Women 25.84% ▲ (+0.02)

Team To Score First

Manchester City Women 51.59% ▲ (+0.08)
No Goal 6.25% ▼ (-0.09)
Paris Saint-Germain Women 42.16% ▲ (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 60.97% ▼ (-0.08)
Equal 8 10.18% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 8 28.85% ▲ (+0.12)
Over 9 50.32% ▼ (-0.04)
Equal 9 10.64% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 9 39.03% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 10.5 40.03% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 10.5 59.97% ▼ (-0.03)

Manchester City Women Goals

Over 1.5 48.53% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 1.5 51.47% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 2.5 24.81%
Under 2.5 75.19%
Over 3.5 10.16% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 3.5 89.84% ▲ (+0.05)

Paris Saint-Germain Women Goals

Over 0.5 62.15% ▲ (+0.19)
Under 0.5 37.85% ▼ (-0.19)
Over 1.5 32.1% ▲ (+0.14)
Under 1.5 67.9% ▼ (-0.13)
Over 2.5 12.96% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 2.5 87.04% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 3.5 4.33% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 3.5 95.67% ▼ (-0.02)

Score analysis

Manchester City Women 48.47%
Draw 24.02%
Paris Saint-Germain Women 27.5%
Manchester City Women
1-0 @ 9.58% ▼ (-0.06)
2-1 @ 8.6% ▲ (+0.03)
2-0 @ 7.47% ▼ (-0.04)
3-0 @ 4.71% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.56%
3-2 @ 3.72% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 9.83% ▼ (-0.04)
Total : 48.47%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.66% ▲ (+0.06)
0-0 @ 6.25% ▼ (-0.09)
2-2 @ 5.12% ▲ (+0.03)
3-3 @ 1.66%
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 24.02%
Paris Saint-Germain Women
1-2 @ 6.53% ▲ (+0.03)
0-1 @ 6.23% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 3.77%
1-3 @ 2.74% ▲ (+0.05)
2-3 @ 2.53%
0-3 @ 1.7% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 4% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 27.5%