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Vancouver Whitecaps
Vancouver Whitecaps
Major League Soccer
Apr 13, 2025 at 12.30am UK
BC Place Stadium
Austin FC

Vancouver
5 - 1
Austin

White (13', 38', 59', 82'), Sabbi (47')
Priso-Mbongue (50'), Berhalter (86'), White (90'), Blackmon (90+2')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Pereira (90')
Wolff (20')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's MLS clash between Vancouver Whitecaps and Austin FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Pumas 2-2 Vancouver
Thursday, April 10 at 3.30am in CONCACAF Champions League
Last Game: Austin 0-0 Portland
Sunday, April 6 at 12.45am in Major League Soccer

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vancouver Whitecaps win with a probability of 57.02%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Austin FC had a probability of 20.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vancouver Whitecaps win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.82%), while for an Austin FC win it was 0-1 (5.94%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Vancouver Whitecaps would win this match.

Result
Vancouver WhitecapsDrawAustin FC
57.02% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)22.81% (0.018999999999998 0.02)20.18% (0.032 0.03)
Both teams to score 52.61% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.32% (-0.035000000000004 -0.04)46.68% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.05% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)68.95% (0.037999999999997 0.04)
Vancouver Whitecaps Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.86% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03)16.14% (0.031000000000002 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.43% (-0.055 -0.05)45.57% (0.057000000000002 0.06)
Austin FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.73% (0.012 0.01)37.27% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.94% (0.012 0.01)74.06% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Vancouver Whitecaps 57.01%
    Austin FC 20.18%
    Draw 22.8%
Vancouver WhitecapsDrawAustin FC
1-0 @ 10.97% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 10% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.88% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-0 @ 6.08% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.96% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 2.77% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.74% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.35% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
5-0 @ 1.01% (-0.004 -0)
5-1 @ 1% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 57.01%
1-1 @ 10.82% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.02% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.87%
3-3 @ 0.98%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 22.8%
0-1 @ 5.94% (0.011 0.01)
1-2 @ 5.34% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.93% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.76% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.6%
0-3 @ 0.96% (0.003 0)
Other @ 1.64%
Total : 20.18%

How you voted: Vancouver vs Austin

Vancouver Whitecaps
88.9%
Draw
0.0%
Austin FC
11.1%
9
Head to Head
Sep 1, 2024 1.30am
Austin
0-1
Vancouver

Hedges (8'), Bukari (87'), Biro (90+9')
Vite (70')
Vite (6'), Picault (90+10'), Takaoka (90+8')
May 5, 2024 3.30am
Vancouver
0-0
Austin
Picault (45+9'), White (46')
Biro (45+9'), Driussi (45+11')
Jul 13, 2023 3.30am
Vancouver
2-1
Austin
Vite (1'), Cordova (72')
Sartini (53'), Cubas (87'), Blackmon (90+10')
Redes (47')
Redes (52'), Lundqvist (78')
Apr 16, 2023 1.30am
Oct 2, 2022 3am
rhs 2.0


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