Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Seattle Sounders win with a probability of 38.09%. A win for San Diego had a probability of 37.72% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Seattle Sounders win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.36%) and 0-2 (5.59%). The likeliest San Diego win was 2-1 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.1%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that San Diego would win this match.
| Result | ||
| San Diego | Draw | Seattle Sounders |
| 37.72% ( | 24.18% ( | 38.09% ( |
| Both teams to score 60.78% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.24% ( | 41.76% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.84% ( | 64.16% ( |
| San Diego Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.87% ( | 22.13% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.49% ( | 55.51% ( |
| Seattle Sounders Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.06% ( | 21.94% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.78% ( | 55.22% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| San Diego | Draw | Seattle Sounders |
| 2-1 @ 8.38% ( 1-0 @ 7.32% ( 2-0 @ 5.52% ( 3-1 @ 4.21% ( 3-2 @ 3.19% ( 3-0 @ 2.78% ( 4-1 @ 1.59% ( 4-2 @ 1.2% ( 4-0 @ 1.05% ( Other @ 2.48% Total : 37.72% | 1-1 @ 11.1% ( 2-2 @ 6.35% ( 0-0 @ 4.86% ( 3-3 @ 1.62% ( Other @ 0.25% Total : 24.18% | 1-2 @ 8.42% ( 0-1 @ 7.36% ( 0-2 @ 5.59% ( 1-3 @ 4.26% ( 2-3 @ 3.21% ( 0-3 @ 2.82% ( 1-4 @ 1.62% ( 2-4 @ 1.22% ( 0-4 @ 1.07% ( Other @ 2.52% Total : 38.09% |