Major League Soccer

Apr 27, 2025 at 12.30am UK

Lower.com Field

Columbus Crew
2 - 1
Earthquakes

Zawadzki (28', 28'), Arfsten (62', 62')
Moreira (84'), Moreira (84'), Schulte (86'), Schulte (86')

FT(HT: 2-2)

Martinez (40', 40')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's MLS Playoffs clash between Columbus Crew and San Jose Earthquakes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Columbus Crew

All competitions

Last Game: Columbus Crew 0-1 Inter Miami
Saturday, April 19 at 9.30pm in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

San Jose Earthquakes

All competitions

Last Game: Earthquakes 3-5 Kansas
Sunday, April 20 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 63.24%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 17.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.42%) and 3-1 (7.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.39%), while for a San Jose Earthquakes win it was 1-2 (4.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Columbus Crew in this match.

Result
Columbus Crew	Draw	San Jose Earthquakes
63.24% ( -0.01)	19.03% ( 0)	17.73% ( 0)

Both teams to score 61.42% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.97% (

-0.01)

33.02% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

45.25% (

-0.01)

54.75% (

0.01)

Columbus Crew Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90% (

-0)

10% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

66.97% (

-0.01)

33.03% (

0.01)

San Jose Earthquakes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.24% (

-0)

31.75% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.82% (

-0)

68.18% (

Score Analysis

Columbus Crew 63.24%

San Jose Earthquakes 17.73%

Draw 19.03%

Columbus Crew	Draw	San Jose Earthquakes
2-1 @ 9.66% 2-0 @ 8.42% ( 0) 3-1 @ 7.41% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.31% ( 0) 3-0 @ 6.46% ( -0) 4-1 @ 4.27% ( -0) 3-2 @ 4.25% 4-0 @ 3.72% ( -0) 4-2 @ 2.45% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.97% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.71% 5-2 @ 1.13% ( -0) 4-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 3.56% Total : 63.24%	1-1 @ 8.39% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.54% 0-0 @ 3.18% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.63% Other @ 0.3% Total : 19.03%	1-2 @ 4.81% ( 0) 0-1 @ 3.64% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.12% 0-2 @ 2.09% 1-3 @ 1.84% ( 0) Other @ 3.23% Total : 17.73%