Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 59.07%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Charlotte FC had a probability of 20.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.49%) and 1-0 (8.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.34%), while for a Charlotte FC win it was 1-2 (5.4%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Columbus Crew would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Columbus Crew | Draw | Charlotte FC |
| 59.07% ( | 20.65% ( | 20.28% ( |
| Both teams to score 60.2% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.27% ( | 36.73% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.1% ( | 58.9% ( |
| Columbus Crew Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.8% ( | 12.2% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.13% ( | 37.87% ( |
| Charlotte FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.56% ( | 31.44% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.18% ( | 67.81% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Columbus Crew | Draw | Charlotte FC |
| 2-1 @ 9.82% ( 2-0 @ 8.49% ( 1-0 @ 8.07% ( 3-1 @ 6.89% ( 3-0 @ 5.95% ( 3-2 @ 3.99% ( 4-1 @ 3.62% ( 4-0 @ 3.13% ( 4-2 @ 2.1% ( 5-1 @ 1.52% ( 5-0 @ 1.32% Other @ 4.18% Total : 59.07% | 1-1 @ 9.34% ( 2-2 @ 5.68% ( 0-0 @ 3.84% ( 3-3 @ 1.54% ( Other @ 0.26% Total : 20.65% | 1-2 @ 5.4% ( 0-1 @ 4.44% ( 0-2 @ 2.57% ( 2-3 @ 2.19% ( 1-3 @ 2.08% ( 0-3 @ 0.99% ( Other @ 2.6% Total : 20.28% |