Major League Soccer

May 3, 2025 at 7.45pm UK

Mercedes-Benz Stadium

Atlanta
1 - 1
Nashville

Almiron (20')
Klich (43'), Slisz (78'), Almiron (82')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Lovitz (66')
Perez (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's MLS clash between Atlanta United and Nashville SC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atlanta United

All competitions

Last Game: Orlando City 3-0 Atlanta
Sunday, April 27 at 12.15am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Nashville SC

All competitions

Last Game: Nashville 7-2 Chicago Fire
Sunday, April 27 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 52.82%. A win for Nashville SC had a probability of 24.22% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.21%) and 2-0 (8.39%). The likeliest Nashville SC win was 1-2 (6.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.

Result
Atlanta United	Draw	Nashville SC
52.82% ( -0.78)	22.96% ( 0.49)	24.22% ( 0.29)

Both teams to score 57.64% (

-1.36)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.36% (

-1.96)

42.63% (

1.95)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.96% (

-1.97)

65.04% (

1.97)

Atlanta United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.84% (

-0.96)

16.15% (

0.96)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.4% (

-1.78)

45.6% (

1.78)

Nashville SC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.74% (

-0.83)

31.26% (

0.82)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.39% (

-0.97)

67.61% (

0.96)

Score Analysis

Atlanta United 52.83%

Nashville SC 24.22%

Draw 22.95%

Atlanta United	Draw	Nashville SC
2-1 @ 9.76% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 9.21% ( 0.49) 2-0 @ 8.39% ( 0.18) 3-1 @ 5.93% ( -0.2) 3-0 @ 5.1% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 3.45% ( -0.2) 4-1 @ 2.7% ( -0.19) 4-0 @ 2.32% ( -0.11) 4-2 @ 1.57% ( -0.15) 5-1 @ 0.99% ( -0.1) Other @ 3.41% Total : 52.83%	1-1 @ 10.7% ( 0.34) 2-2 @ 5.67% ( -0.14) 0-0 @ 5.05% ( 0.43) 3-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.19% Total : 22.95%	1-2 @ 6.22% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 5.87% ( 0.37) 0-2 @ 3.41% ( 0.14) 1-3 @ 2.41% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.2% ( -0.1) 0-3 @ 1.32% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.77% Total : 24.22%