/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F29%2Flrilog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F41%2Ftwelog.png)
-
Nano
38'
-
Thomas van den Belt
19'
-
Wout Weghorst
24'
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Ruud Nijstad
37'
-
Younes Taha
43'
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Thomas van den Belt
57'
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Daouda Weidmann
90'+3'
Lincoln Red Imps vs FC Twente - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2Fuploads%2F2026%2F07%2Fbas-czerwinski-anp-fc-twente-manager-john-van-den-brom-on-may-17-2026-6a6014ce43705913267368.jpg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 58.35%. A draw had a probability of 22.04% and a win for Lincoln Red Imps had a probability of 19.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.87%) and 1-2 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.04%) , while for a Lincoln Red Imps win it was 1-0 (5.78%).
Result
Lincoln Red Imps
19.61%
▼
(-0.63)
Draw
22.04%
▼
(-1.11)
FC Twente
58.35%
▲
(+1.74)
Both Teams to Score:
51.51%
▲
(+1.34)
Goals
Over 1.5
76.27%
▲
(+2.25)
Under 1.5
23.73%
▼
(-2.25)
Over 2.5
53.39%
▲
(+2.36)
Under 2.5
46.61%
▼
(-2.36)
Over 3.5
33.28%
▲
(+1.65)
Under 3.5
66.72%
▼
(-1.65)
Over 4.5
21.29%
▲
(+1.11)
Under 4.5
78.71%
▼
(-1.11)
First Half Winner
Lincoln Red Imps
18.7%
Draw
39.43%
FC Twente
41.87%
Team To Score First
Lincoln Red Imps
34.16%
▲
(+0.40)
No Goal
6.47%
▼
(-1.11)
FC Twente
59.37%
▲
(+0.70)
Corners
Over 8
51.35%
Equal 8
11.22%
Under 8
37.42%
Over 9
40.46%
Equal 9
10.89%
Under 9
48.65%
Over 10.5
30.7%
Under 10.5
69.3%
Lincoln Red Imps Goals
Over 1.5
22.72%
▲
(+0.26)
Under 1.5
77.28%
▼
(-0.27)
Over 2.5
7.1%
▲
(+0.09)
Under 2.5
92.9%
▼
(-0.09)
Over 3.5
2.42%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 3.5
97.58%
▼
(-0.02)
FC Twente Goals
Over 0.5
81.76%
▲
(+1.80)
Under 0.5
18.24%
▼
(-1.80)
Over 1.5
53.87%
▲
(+2.57)
Under 1.5
46.13%
▼
(-2.57)
Over 2.5
28.72%
▲
(+1.83)
Under 2.5
71.28%
▼
(-1.82)
Over 3.5
13.11%
▲
(+0.86)
Under 3.5
86.89%
▼
(-0.86)
Score analysis
Lincoln Red Imps
19.6%
Draw
22.03%
FC Twente
58.36%
Lincoln Red Imps
1-0
@
5.78%
▼
(-0.57)
2-1 @ 4.68% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 2.98% ▼ (-0.15)
3-1 @ 1.7% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 1.46% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 2.41% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 19.6%
2-1 @ 4.68% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 2.98% ▼ (-0.15)
3-1 @ 1.7% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 1.46% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 2.41% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 19.6%
Draw
1-1
@
10.04%
▼
(-0.21)
0-0 @ 6.47% ▼ (-1.11)
2-2 @ 4.58% ▲ (+0.16)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 22.03%
0-0 @ 6.47% ▼ (-1.11)
2-2 @ 4.58% ▲ (+0.16)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 22.03%
FC Twente
0-1
@
11.47%
▼
(-0.60)
0-2 @ 9.87% ▲ (+0.24)
1-2 @ 9.24% ▲ (+0.33)
1-3 @ 5.7% ▲ (+0.36)
0-3 @ 5.6% ▲ (+0.42)
2-3 @ 3.38% ▲ (+0.15)
Other @ 13.1% ▲ (+0.86)
Total : 58.36%
0-2 @ 9.87% ▲ (+0.24)
1-2 @ 9.24% ▲ (+0.33)
1-3 @ 5.7% ▲ (+0.36)
0-3 @ 5.6% ▲ (+0.42)
2-3 @ 3.38% ▲ (+0.15)
Other @ 13.1% ▲ (+0.86)
Total : 58.36%