Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Laval win with a probability of 36.31%. A win for Quevilly had a probability of 34.56% and a draw had a probability of 29.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Laval win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.49%) and 0-2 (6.92%). The likeliest Quevilly win was 1-0 (11.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Laval would win this match.