Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Quevilly win with a probability of 41.9%. A draw had a probability of 29.5% and a win for Niort had a probability of 28.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Quevilly win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.53%) and 2-1 (7.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.28%), while for a Niort win it was 0-1 (11.22%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.