Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris FC win with a probability of 44.49%. A draw had a probability of 30.2% and a win for Niort had a probability of 25.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris FC win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.51%) and 1-2 (7.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.71%), while for a Niort win it was 1-0 (11.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.