Ligue 2 Gameweek 12
Nov 7, 2026 7.00pm
Stade Du Hameau Idron 1

Pau vs Nantes - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Pau

All competitions
Last game
Oct 30, 2026 7.00pm
Metz 1 - 3 Pau
Goals scored
16
Top scorer
Babacar Leye

Nantes

All competitions
Last game
Oct 30, 2026 7.00pm
Nantes 1 - 1 Clermont
Goals scored
12
Top scorer
Killian Corredor

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Pau win with a probability of 45.77%. A draw has a probability of 27.51% and a win for Nantes has a probability of 26.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pau win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.1%) and 2-0 (8.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.79%) , while for a Nantes win it is 0-1 (8.53%).

Result

Pau 45.77% ▲ (+0.11)
Draw 27.51% ▼ (-0.04)
Nantes 26.75% ▼ (-0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.23% ▲ (+0.03)

Goals

Over 1.5 70.07% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 29.93% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 2.5 44.54% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 55.42% ▼ (-0.11)
Over 3.5 23.75% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 3.5 76.25% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 4.5 12.35% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 4.5 87.65% ▼ (-0.04)

First Half Winner

Pau 33.36%
Draw 44.9% ▲ (+0.01)
Nantes 21.75%

Team To Score First

Pau 52.71% ▲ (+0.03)
No Goal 8.96% ▼ (-0.02)
Nantes 38.33%

Corners

Over 8 56.11%
Equal 8 12.14%
Under 8 31.74%
Over 9 43.88%
Equal 9 12.23%
Under 9 43.89%
Over 10.5 32.64%
Under 10.5 67.36%

Pau Goals

Over 1.5 40.72% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 1.5 59.28% ▼ (-0.11)
Over 2.5 16.72% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 2.5 83.28% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 3.5 5.5% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 3.5 94.5% ▼ (-0.05)

Nantes Goals

Over 0.5 60.96% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 0.5 39.04% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 1.5 26.24% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 73.76% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 2.5 8.4% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 2.5 91.6% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 2.18%
Under 3.5 97.82%

Score analysis

Pau 45.77%
Draw 27.51%
Nantes 26.76%
Pau
1-0 @ 12.48% ▲ (+0.01)
2-1 @ 9.1%
2-0 @ 8.42% ▲ (+0.03)
3-1 @ 4.3% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 3.82%
3-2 @ 2.25%
Other @ 5.4% ▲ (+0.05)
Total : 45.77%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.79% ▼ (-0.03)
0-0 @ 8.96% ▼ (-0.02)
2-2 @ 4.81% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 27.51%
Nantes
0-1 @ 8.53% ▼ (-0.03)
1-2 @ 6.47% ▼ (-0.03)
0-2 @ 4.31%
1-3 @ 2.3%
2-3 @ 1.67%
0-3 @ 1.4% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 26.76%

Head to Head

Coupe de France
Jan 5, 2024 5.00pm
1
4
HT : 1 0
FT Stade Du Hameau Idron 1
  • Moussa Sylla 15' goal
  • goal Florent Mollet 48'
  • yellowcard Fabien Centonze 77'
  • goal Tino Kadewere 80'
  • goal Tino Kadewere 83'
  • goal Kader Bamba 88'
  • yellowcard Douglas 90'+5'