Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Metz win with a probability of 56.7%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Dunkerque had a probability of 20.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Metz win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.9%) and 2-0 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.6%), while for a Dunkerque win it was 0-1 (5.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Metz in this match.