Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Metz win with a probability of 56.7%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Dunkerque had a probability of 20.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Metz win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.9%) and 2-0 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.6%), while for a Dunkerque win it was 0-1 (5.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Metz in this match.

Result
Metz	Draw	Dunkerque
56.7% ( -0.55)	22.48% ( -0)	20.82% ( 0.56)

Both teams to score 54.69% (

0.89)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.6% (

0.76)

44.4% (

-0.76)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.22% (

0.74)

66.77% (

-0.73)

Metz Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.55% (

0.08)

15.45% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.69% (

0.15)

44.3% (

-0.15)

Dunkerque Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.68% (

0.99)

35.32% (

-0.99)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.92% (

1.02)

72.07% (

-1.02)

Score Analysis

Metz 56.7%

Dunkerque 20.82%

Draw 22.47%

Metz	Draw	Dunkerque
1-0 @ 10.19% ( -0.31) 2-1 @ 9.9% ( -0) 2-0 @ 9.52% ( -0.26) 3-1 @ 6.17% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 5.92% ( -0.15) 3-2 @ 3.21% ( 0.09) 4-1 @ 2.88% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 2.77% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 1.5% ( 0.05) 5-1 @ 1.08% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.03% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.55% Total : 56.7%	1-1 @ 10.6% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.46% ( -0.18) 2-2 @ 5.15% ( 0.14) 3-3 @ 1.11% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.15% Total : 22.47%	0-1 @ 5.68% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 5.52% ( 0.13) 0-2 @ 2.96% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 1.92% ( 0.1) 2-3 @ 1.79% ( 0.09) 0-3 @ 1.03% ( 0.05) Other @ 1.94% Total : 20.82%