Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Metz win with a probability of 51.7%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Laval had a probability of 23.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Metz win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.62%) and 0-2 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.62%), while for a Laval win it was 1-0 (7.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Metz would win this match.