Le Havre
Ligue 2 | Gameweek 13
Oct 24, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Stade Oceane
Metz logo

Le Havre
2 - 0
Metz

Lloris (10'), Alioui (53')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the Ligue 2 clash between Le Havre and Metz.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rodez AF 1-1 Le Havre
Saturday, October 15 at 6pm in Ligue 2
Last Game: Metz 0-0 Sochaux
Saturday, October 15 at 6pm in Ligue 2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Le Havre win with a probability of 48.85%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Metz had a probability of 25.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Le Havre win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.26%) and 2-0 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.28%), while for a Metz win it was 0-1 (8.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Le Havre would win this match.

Result
Le HavreDrawMetz
48.85% (1.489 1.49)25.9% (-0.225 -0.23)25.25% (-1.265 -1.27)
Both teams to score 49.38% (-0.414 -0.41)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.97% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)54.03% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.53% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)75.46% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Le Havre Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.86% (0.66600000000001 0.67)22.14% (-0.668 -0.67)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.48% (0.995 1)55.52% (-0.997 -1)
Metz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.42% (-1.085 -1.08)36.57% (1.081 1.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.64% (-1.104 -1.1)73.36% (1.102 1.1)
Score Analysis
    Le Havre 48.84%
    Metz 25.25%
    Draw 25.9%
Le HavreDrawMetz
1-0 @ 12.2% (0.24 0.24)
2-1 @ 9.26% (0.097999999999999 0.1)
2-0 @ 9.2% (0.362 0.36)
3-1 @ 4.65% (0.14 0.14)
3-0 @ 4.63% (0.27 0.27)
3-2 @ 2.34% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 1.75% (0.086 0.09)
4-0 @ 1.74% (0.134 0.13)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 48.84%
1-1 @ 12.28% (-0.11 -0.11)
0-0 @ 8.1% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 4.66% (-0.089 -0.09)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 25.9%
0-1 @ 8.14% (-0.241 -0.24)
1-2 @ 6.18% (-0.244 -0.24)
0-2 @ 4.1% (-0.247 -0.25)
1-3 @ 2.07% (-0.146 -0.15)
2-3 @ 1.56% (-0.077 -0.08)
0-3 @ 1.37% (-0.127 -0.13)
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 25.25%

How you voted: Le Havre vs Metz

Le Havre
73.3%
Draw
13.3%
Metz
13.3%
15
Head to Head
Mar 4, 2019 7.45pm
Le Havre
2-2
Metz
Ferhat (21'), Kadewere (61' pen.)
Bain (29'), Coulibaly (78'), Thiare (90')
Boulaya (63'), Nguette (79')
Maiga (41'), Gakpa (73')
Sep 29, 2018 2pm
Metz
0-1
Le Havre

Fofana (79')
Ferhat (61')
Moukoudi (16'), Basque (90')