Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Annecy win with a probability of 42.2%. A win for Valenciennes had a probability of 30.76% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for an Annecy win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.64%) and 2-0 (7.78%). The likeliest Valenciennes win was 0-1 (9.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Annecy would win this match.