Liga MX Gameweek 12
Oct 17, 2026 2.00am
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Victoria de Aguascalientes
  • Diego Ochoa 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Ryan Mmaee 5'
  • redcard Milton Valenzuela 67'
  • yellowcard Adonis Frías 77'
  • goal Manuel Capasso 90'

Necaxa vs Atlas - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Necaxa

All competitions
Last game
Oct 12, 2026 12.10am
Pachuca 3 - 3 Necaxa
Goals scored
15
Top scorer
Julián Carranza

Atlas

All competitions
Last game
Oct 11, 2026 2.00am
Atlas 1 - 1 Guadalajara
Goals scored
19
Top scorer
Luís André Leite Esteves

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Necaxa win with a probability of 38.32%. A win for Atlas had a probability of 36.77% and a draw had a probability of 24.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Necaxa win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.07%) and 2-0 (5.28%). The likeliest Atlas win was 1-2 (8.05%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.

Result

Necaxa 38.32% ▲ (+0.04)
Draw 24.88%
Atlas 36.77% ▼ (-0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

64.16%

Goals

Over 1.5 81.36% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 1.5 18.64% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 2.5 60.3%
Under 2.5 39.7%
Over 3.5 38.66%
Under 3.5 61.34%
Over 4.5 24.04% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 4.5 75.96% ▲ (+0.01)

First Half Winner

Necaxa 29.1%
Draw 46.68%
Atlas 24.22%

Team To Score First

Necaxa 50.8%
No Goal 4.9%
Atlas 44.3%

Corners

Over 8 64.49%
Equal 8 10.5%
Under 8 25.01%
Over 9 53.24%
Equal 9 11.24%
Under 9 35.51%
Over 10.5 42.19%
Under 10.5 57.81%

Necaxa Goals

Over 1.5 43.64% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 1.5 56.36% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 2.5 20% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 80% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 7.82% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 3.5 92.18% ▼ (-0.03)

Atlas Goals

Over 0.5 72.49% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 0.5 27.51% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 1.5 42.33% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 1.5 57.67% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 2.5 19.83% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 2.5 80.17% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 3.5 7.79% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 3.5 92.21% ▲ (+0.03)

Score analysis

Necaxa 38.31%
Draw 24.86%
Atlas 36.77%
Necaxa
2-1 @ 8.38%
1-0 @ 7.07% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 5.28% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.07%
3-2 @ 3.31%
3-0 @ 2.8%
Other @ 7.4% ▲ (+0.04)
Total : 38.31%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.1% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 6.44%
0-0 @ 4.9%
3-3 @ 2%
Other @ 0.42%
Total : 24.86%
Atlas
1-2 @ 8.05%
0-1 @ 6.61% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 4.7% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 4.1%
2-3 @ 3.54% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.4%
Other @ 7.37% ▼ (-0.04)
Total : 36.77%

Head to Head

Club Friendlies 3
Jul 4, 2026 1.00am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Jalisco
Liga MX Gameweek 3
Jan 17, 2026 11.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 2
FT Estadio Victoria de Aguascalientes
  • Francisco Javier Méndez Lara 46' yellowcard
  • Tomas Badaloni 46' yellowcard
  • Agustin Almendra 46' yellowcard
  • Agustín Almendra 46' yellowcard
  • Tomás Badaloni 46' yellowcard
  • Francisco Méndez 46' yellowcard
  • Raul Sanchez 74' yellowcard
  • Raúl Sánchez 74' yellowcard
  • Franco Rossano Erchuk 84' yellowcard
  • Franco Rossano 84' yellowcard
  • goal Alfonso Gonzalez 43'
  • goal Arturo González 43'
  • yellowcard Victor Rios 56'
  • yellowcard Víctor Ríos 56'
  • yellowcard Edgar Zaldivar 67'
  • yellowcard Édgar Zaldívar 67'
  • yellowcard Eduardo Aguirre 81'
Liga MX
Sep 28, 2025 12.00am
3
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Liga MX Gameweek 9
Feb 19, 2025 3.10am
0
4
HT : 0 4
FT Estadio Jalisco
  • Victor Rios 18' yellowcard
  • Victor Rios 18' yellowcard
  • Angel Marquez 76' yellowcard
  • Angel Marquez 76' yellowcard
  • goal Diber Cambindo 23'
  • goal Diber Cambindo 23'
  • goal Agustin Palavecino 43'
  • goal Agustin Palavecino 43'
  • yellowcard Alejandro Mayorga 48'
  • yellowcard Alejandro Mayorga 48'
  • goal Arturo Adolfo Palma Cisneros 70'
  • goal Arturo Adolfo Palma Cisneros 70'
  • yellowcard Alexis Pena 82'
  • yellowcard Alexis Pena 82'
  • yellowcard Arturo Adolfo Palma Cisneros 83'
  • yellowcard Arturo Adolfo Palma Cisneros 83'
  • yellowcard Arturo Adolfo Palma Cisneros 83'
  • yellowcard Arturo Adolfo Palma Cisneros 83'
  • goal Tomas Badaloni 90'+1'
  • goal Tomas Badaloni 90'+1'
Liga MX Gameweek 17
Nov 10, 2024 11.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Victoria de Aguascalientes
  • Ricardo Monreal 37' yellowcard
  • Alan Montes 64' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Doria 88'
Liga MX Gameweek 1
Jan 15, 2024 12.00am
2
1
HT : 0 2
FT Estadio Victoria de Aguascalientes
  • Braian Samudio 53' yellowcard
  • Braian Samudio 53' yellowcard
  • Fernando Arce 76' yellowcard
  • Fernando Arce 76' yellowcard
  • Ricardo Monreal 88' goal
  • Ricardo Monreal 88' goal
  • Alan Montes 90'+3' goal
  • Alan Montes 90'+3' goal
  • Alan Montes 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Alan Montes 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Agustin Oliveros 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Aldo Rocha 6'
  • yellowcard Aldo Rocha 6'
  • goal Eduardo Aguirre 29'
  • goal Eduardo Aguirre 29'
  • redcard Aldo Rocha 61'
  • redcard Aldo Rocha 61'
  • redcard Christopher Trejo 90'
  • redcard Christopher Trejo 90'