Liga MX Gameweek 11
Oct 12, 2026 12.10am
Estadio Hidalgo

Pachuca vs Necaxa - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Pachuca

All competitions
Last game
Sep 27, 2026 4.05am
Santos Laguna 1 - 0 Pachuca
Goals scored
15
Top scorer
Salomón Rondón

Necaxa

All competitions
Last game
Sep 28, 2026 4.10am
Necaxa 2 - 4 America
Goals scored
12
Top scorer
Julián Carranza

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Pachuca win with a probability of 50%. A draw has a probability of 25.53% and a win for Necaxa has a probability of 24.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pachuca win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.88%) and 2-0 (8.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.77%) , while for a Necaxa win it is 0-1 (7%).

Result

Pachuca 50% ▲ (+0.04)
Draw 25.53%
Necaxa 24.46% ▼ (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.11%

Goals

Over 1.5 74.32% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 25.68% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 2.5 50.86%
Under 2.5 49.14%
Over 3.5 28.41%
Under 3.5 71.59%
Over 4.5 16.18% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 4.5 83.82% ▼ (-0.03)

First Half Winner

Pachuca 36.54%
Draw 44.3%
Necaxa 19.17%

Team To Score First

Pachuca 57.47%
No Goal 7.37%
Necaxa 35.16%

Corners

Over 8 62.74%
Equal 8 11.07%
Under 8 26.19%
Over 9 51%
Equal 9 11.74%
Under 9 37.26%
Over 10.5 39.6%
Under 10.5 60.4%

Pachuca Goals

Over 1.5 47.01% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 52.99% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 2.5 21.86% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 2.5 78.14% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 8.04% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 3.5 91.96% ▼ (-0.02)

Necaxa Goals

Over 0.5 60.48% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 0.5 39.52% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 1.5 26.73% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 73.27% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 2.5 9.05% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 2.5 90.95% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 2.46%
Under 3.5 97.54%

Score analysis

Pachuca 50.01%
Draw 25.54%
Necaxa 24.46%
Pachuca
1-0 @ 11.32%
2-1 @ 9.88% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 8.32%
3-1 @ 5.1%
3-0 @ 4.72%
3-2 @ 2.87% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 7.8% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 50.01%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.77%
0-0 @ 7.37%
2-2 @ 5.03%
3-3 @ 1.13%
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 25.54%
Necaxa
0-1 @ 7% ▼ (-0.01)
1-2 @ 6.42% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 3.36% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 2.12% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.92%
0-3 @ 1.42% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 24.46%

Head to Head

Liga MX Gameweek 9
Mar 4, 2026 1.00am
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Hidalgo
  • Alexéi Domínguez 14' goal
  • Oussama Idrissi 33' goal
  • Luis Enrique Quiñones García 65' yellowcard
  • Alán Ernesto Bautista Gutiérrez 74' yellowcard
  • Víctor Alfonso Guzmán Guzmán 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Javier Ruiz 46'
  • yellowcard Lorenzo Faravelli 46'
  • yellowcard Kevin Gutiérrez 46'
  • yellowcard Emilio Lara 46'
  • goal Javier Ruiz 53'
  • yellowcard Cristian Calderón 88'
  • yellowcard Bryan Roque 88'
Liga MX
Oct 4, 2025 2.00am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Liga MX Gameweek 15
Apr 12, 2025 2.00am
3
5
HT : 3 4
FT Estadio Victoria de Aguascalientes
  • Tomas Badaloni 12' goal
  • Jose Paradela 28' yellowcard
  • Jose Paradela 28' yellowcard
  • Pavel Perez 32' goal
  • Pavel Perez 32' goal
  • Alejandro Andrade 36' yellowcard
  • Alejandro Andrade 36' yellowcard
  • Agustin Palavecino 40' yellowcard
  • Agustin Palavecino 40' yellowcard
  • Diego de Buen 53' goal
  • Diego de Buen 53' goal
  • Pavel Perez 79' goal
  • Pavel Perez 79' goal
  • yellowcard Pedro Pedraza 5'
  • yellowcard Pedro Pedraza 5'
  • goal Salomon Rondon 31'
  • goal Salomon Rondon 31'
  • goal Salomon Rondon 45'+3'
  • goal Salomon Rondon 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Oussama Idrissi 48'
  • yellowcard Oussama Idrissi 48'
  • goal Elias Montiel 85'
  • goal Elias Montiel 85'
  • goal Alfonso Gonzalez 88'
  • goal Alfonso Gonzalez 88'
  • goal Salomon Rondon 90'+4'
  • goal Salomon Rondon 90'+4'
Liga MX Gameweek 15
Nov 3, 2024 3.06am
6
2
HT : 4 0
FT Estadio Hidalgo
  • Salomon Rondon 12' goal
  • Salomon Rondon 12' goal
  • Salomon Rondon 29' goal
  • Salomon Rondon 29' goal
  • Oussama Idrissi 54' goal
  • Oussama Idrissi 54' goal
  • Salomon Rondon 61' goal
  • Salomon Rondon 61' goal
  • Oussama Idrissi 68' yellowcard
  • Oussama Idrissi 68' yellowcard
  • Javier Lopez 85' goal
  • Javier Lopez 85' goal
  • Alfonso Gonzalez 87' goal
  • Alfonso Gonzalez 87' goal
  • yellowcard Ricardo Monreal 19'
  • yellowcard Ricardo Monreal 19'
  • yellowcard Diber Cambindo 26'
  • yellowcard Diber Cambindo 26'
  • goal Diber Cambindo 58'
  • goal Diber Cambindo 58'
  • goal Diber Cambindo 66'
  • goal Diber Cambindo 66'
Liga MX
May 6, 2024 3.06am
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Hidalgo
  • Pedro Pedraza 10' yellowcard
  • Pedro Pedraza 10' yellowcard
  • Nelson Deossa 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Nelson Deossa 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Alan Bautista 79' goal
  • Alan Bautista 79' goal
  • Salomon Rondon 83' goal
  • Salomon Rondon 83' goal
  • Agustin Oliveros 83' yellowcard
  • Oussama Idrissi 84' yellowcard
  • Oussama Idrissi 86' redcard
  • Oussama Idrissi 87' redcard
  • Oussama Idrissi 87' yellowcard
  • Oussama Idrissi 87' yellowcard
  • Oussama Idrissi 87' redcard
  • redcard Eduardo Fentanes 3'
  • redcard Eduardo Fentanes 11'
  • yellowcard Jose Paradela 26'
  • yellowcard Jose Paradela 26'
  • yellowcard Fernando Arce 32'
  • yellowcard Fernando Arce 32'
  • yellowcard Diber Cambindo 54'
  • yellowcard Diber Cambindo 54'
  • yellowcard Bryan Garnica 82'
  • yellowcard Bryan Garnica 82'
  • yellowcard Agustin Oliveros 84'
  • yellowcard Agustin Oliveros 87'
  • goal Bryan Garnica 90'+6'
  • goal Bryan Garnica 90'+6'
Liga MX Gameweek 8
Feb 24, 2024 3.00am
1
1
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Victoria de Aguascalientes
  • Emilio Martinez 41' goal
  • Emilio Martinez 41' goal
  • Ricardo Monreal 57' yellowcard
  • Ricardo Monreal 57' yellowcard
  • Heriberto Jurado 65' yellowcard
  • Heriberto Jurado 65' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Pedro Pedraza 36'
  • yellowcard Pedro Pedraza 36'
  • yellowcard Andres Micolta 56'
  • yellowcard Andres Micolta 56'
  • yellowcard Luis Rodriguez 65'
  • yellowcard Luis Rodriguez 65'
  • goal Salomon Rondon 90'+1'
  • goal Salomon Rondon 90'+1'