Liga MX Gameweek 14
Oct 25, 2026 11.00pm
Estadio Jalisco

Atlas vs Puebla - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Atlas

All competitions
Last game
Oct 22, 2026 2.00am
Atlas 2 - 5 America
Goals scored
21
Top scorer
Luís André Leite Esteves

Puebla

All competitions
Last game
Oct 22, 2026 2.00am
Puebla 1 - 4 Monterrey
Goals scored
13
Top scorer
Eduardo Mustre Torres

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Atlas win with a probability of 42.95%. A win for Puebla has a probability of 30.64% and a draw has a probability of 26.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Atlas win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (7.63%). The likeliest Puebla win is 0-1 (7.96%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.29%).

Result

Atlas 42.95% ▼ (-3.00)
Draw 26.38% ▼ (-0.02)
Puebla 30.64% ▲ (+3.07)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.73% ▲ (+1.98)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.21% ▲ (+0.96)
Under 1.5 25.79% ▼ (-0.97)
Over 2.5 49.4% ▲ (+0.93)
Under 2.5 50.6% ▼ (-0.93)
Over 3.5 28.23% ▲ (+1.65)
Under 3.5 71.77% ▼ (-1.65)
Over 4.5 15.33% ▲ (+0.97)
Under 4.5 84.67% ▼ (-0.96)

First Half Winner

Atlas 30.71% ▼ (-2.29)
Draw 45.23% ▲ (+0.47)
Puebla 24.06% ▲ (+1.80)

Team To Score First

Atlas 48.01% ▼ (-2.29)
No Goal 7.31% ▼ (-0.36)
Puebla 44.68% ▲ (+2.64)

Corners

Over 8 63.72% ▲ (+1.86)
Equal 8 10.83% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 8 25.45% ▼ (-1.79)
Over 9 52.14% ▲ (+1.75)
Equal 9 11.58% ▲ (+0.12)
Under 9 36.28% ▼ (-1.86)
Over 10.5 40.8% ▲ (+1.47)
Under 10.5 59.2% ▼ (-1.47)

Atlas Goals

Over 1.5 41.48% ▼ (-1.53)
Under 1.5 58.52% ▲ (+1.53)
Over 2.5 17.33% ▼ (-1.00)
Under 2.5 82.67% ▲ (+1.00)
Over 3.5 6.1% ▼ (-0.33)
Under 3.5 93.9% ▲ (+0.33)

Puebla Goals

Over 0.5 65.2% ▲ (+2.82)
Under 0.5 34.8% ▼ (-2.82)
Over 1.5 32.01% ▲ (+3.18)
Under 1.5 67.99% ▼ (-3.19)
Over 2.5 11.43% ▲ (+1.95)
Under 2.5 88.57% ▼ (-1.96)
Over 3.5 3.47% ▲ (+0.83)
Under 3.5 96.53% ▼ (-0.83)

Score analysis

Atlas 42.95%
Draw 26.38%
Puebla 30.63%
Atlas
1-0 @ 10.48% ▼ (-0.85)
2-1 @ 8.66% ▼ (-0.45)
2-0 @ 7.63% ▼ (-0.57)
3-1 @ 4.28% ▼ (-0.13)
3-0 @ 3.33% ▼ (-0.73)
3-2 @ 2.56% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 6.01% ▼ (-0.32)
Total : 42.95%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.29% ▼ (-0.05)
0-0 @ 7.31% ▼ (-0.36)
2-2 @ 5.63% ▲ (+0.23)
3-3 @ 1.06%
Other @ 0.09% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 26.38%
Puebla
0-1 @ 7.96% ▲ (+0.25)
1-2 @ 7.49% ▲ (+0.32)
0-2 @ 4.9% ▲ (+0.67)
1-3 @ 2.98% ▲ (+0.55)
2-3 @ 2.23% ▲ (+0.27)
0-3 @ 1.69% ▲ (+0.16)
Other @ 3.38% ▲ (+0.84)
Total : 30.63%

Head to Head

Club Friendlies 3
Jul 10, 2026 1.00am
Estadio Jalisco
Liga MX Gameweek 1
Jan 10, 2026 3.00am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Jalisco
  • Uros Durdevic 8' yellowcard
  • Uros Durdevic 9' yellowcard
  • Victor Rios 64' yellowcard
  • Edgar Zaldivar 82' yellowcard
  • Alfonso Gonzalez 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Carlos Baltazar 46'
  • yellowcard Owen Gonzalez 72'
  • yellowcard Ignacio Maestro Puch 72'
  • yellowcard Bryan Garnica 84'
  • yellowcard Eduardo Mustre Torres 90'+1'
Liga MX
Jul 12, 2025 2.00am
2
3
HT : 0 0
FT
Liga MX Gameweek 7
Feb 15, 2025 11.00pm
3
2
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio Jalisco
  • Doria 35' yellowcard
  • Uros Durdevic 44' goal
  • Jose Lozano 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Diego Luis Gonzalez Alcaraz 69' yellowcard
  • Diego Luis Gonzalez Alcaraz 90'+3' goal
  • Uros Durdevic 90'+9' goal
  • yellowcard Jose Rodrigo Pachuca Martinez 10'
  • goal Efrain Orona 33'
  • goal Ricardo Marin 50'
  • yellowcard Fernando Arce 85'
  • yellowcard Miguel Jimenez 90'+6'
Liga MX Gameweek 4
Jul 20, 2024 4.05am
1
2
HT : 0 4
FT Estadio Cuauhtemoc
  • Lucas Cavallini 37' yellowcard
  • Lucas Cavallini 37' yellowcard
  • Lucas Cavallini 47' goal
  • Lucas Cavallini 47' goal
  • Raul Castillo 73' yellowcard
  • Raul Castillo 73' yellowcard
  • goal Eduardo Aguirre 9'
  • goal Eduardo Aguirre 9'
  • goal Eduardo Aguirre 23'
  • goal Eduardo Aguirre 23'
  • yellowcard Angel Marquez 30'
  • yellowcard Angel Marquez 30'
  • yellowcard Gaddi Aguirre 82'
  • yellowcard Gaddi Aguirre 82'
  • yellowcard Camilo Vargas 89'
  • yellowcard Camilo Vargas 89'
Liga MX Gameweek 11
Mar 9, 2024 1.00am
2
2
HT : 2 4
FT Estadio Cuauhtemoc
  • Pablo Gonzalez 9' goal
  • Pablo Gonzalez 9' goal
  • Sebastian Olmedo 68' yellowcard
  • Sebastian Olmedo 68' yellowcard
  • Miguel Sansores 73' goal
  • Miguel Sansores 73' goal
  • goal Aldo Rocha 16'
  • goal Aldo Rocha 16'
  • goal Luis Reyes 44'
  • goal Luis Reyes 44'
  • yellowcard Mateo Garcia 60'
  • yellowcard Mateo Garcia 60'
  • yellowcard Jose Lozano 65'
  • yellowcard Jose Lozano 65'