Club Friendlies 3
Jul 25, 2026 11.00am
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT Stade Bollaert-Delelis
  • Abdallah Sima 11' goal
  • Thorgan Hazard 49' goal
  • goal Parfait Guiagon 7'
  • yellowcard 39'
  • goal Jakob Napoleon Romsaas 56'

Lens vs Charleroi - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Lens

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 18, 2026 11.00am
Lens 4 - 1 Boulogne

Charleroi

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 11, 2026 1.00pm
Charleroi 2 - 2 Reims

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 58.48%. A draw had a probability of 22.28% and a win for Charleroi had a probability of 19.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.67%) and 2-0 (8.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.11%) , while for a Charleroi win it was 0-1 (4.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.

Result

Lens 58.48% (-0.08)
Draw 22.28% (+0.07)
Charleroi 19.24% (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.43% (-0.01)

Goals

Over 1.5 80.02% (-0.07)
Under 1.5 19.98% (+0.06)
Over 2.5 58.77% (-0.08)
Under 2.5 41.23% (+0.08)
Over 3.5 37.92% (-0.08)
Under 3.5 62.08% (+0.08)
Over 4.5 24.24% (-0.07)
Under 4.5 75.76% (+0.07)

First Half Winner

Lens 40.93% (-0.04)
Draw 41.88% (+0.04)
Charleroi 17.19%

Team To Score First

Lens 61.37% (-0.03)
No Goal 5.42% (+0.02)
Charleroi 33.21%

Corners

Over 8 64.85% (+0.15)
Equal 8 10.51%
Under 8 24.64% (-0.15)
Over 9 53.52% (+0.13)
Equal 9 11.33% (+0.01)
Under 9 35.15% (-0.15)
Over 10.5 42.33% (+0.11)
Under 10.5 57.67% (-0.11)

Lens Goals

Over 1.5 57.49% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 42.51% (+0.08)
Over 2.5 31.62% (-0.08)
Under 2.5 68.38% (+0.08)
Over 3.5 14.02% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 85.98% (+0.05)

Charleroi Goals

Over 0.5 57.21% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 42.79% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 25.66% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 74.34% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 8.5%
Under 2.5 91.5%
Over 3.5 2.53% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 97.47% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Lens 58.48%
Draw 22.27%
Charleroi 19.24%
Lens
2-1 @ 10.1%
1-0 @ 9.67% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 8.5%
3-1 @ 6.46% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 5.28% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 4.56% (-0.02)
Other @ 13.91% (-0.04)
Total : 58.48%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.11% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 5.42% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 5.33%
3-3 @ 1.3%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 22.27%
Charleroi
0-1 @ 4.88% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 4.63%
0-2 @ 2.64%
2-3 @ 1.94%
1-3 @ 1.89%
Other @ 2.42% (-0.02)
Total : 19.24%