Champions League
Jul 29, 2026 6.00pm
1
4
ET Enea stadion
  • Antoni Kozubal 40' yellowcard
  • Filip Jagiełło 95' goal
  • Yannick Agnero 105'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Tobias Bech 32'
  • yellowcard James Bogere 45'
  • goal Kristian Arnstad 55'
  • goal Frederik Tingager 75'
  • yellowcard Mikael Anderson 86'
  • yellowcard Frederik Emmery 91'
  • goal Tómas Óli Kristjánsson 100'
  • yellowcard Mouhammade Camara 107'

Lech Poznan vs Aarhus - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Lech Poznan

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Jul 21, 2026 6.00pm
Aarhus 1 - 4 Lech Poznan

Aarhus

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Jul 21, 2026 6.00pm
Aarhus 1 - 4 Lech Poznan

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lech Poznan win with a probability of 46.81%. A win for Aarhus had a probability of 29.34% and a draw had a probability of 23.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lech Poznan win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.02%) and 2-0 (7.18%). The likeliest Aarhus win was 0-1 (7.13%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.83%).

Result

Lech Poznan 46.81% (-0.62)
Draw 23.85% (+0.37)
Aarhus 29.34% (+0.27)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.9% (-0.51)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.63% (-0.58)
Under 1.5 22.37% (+0.59)
Over 2.5 55.17% (-0.86)
Under 2.5 44.83% (+0.86)
Over 3.5 33.41% (-1.04)
Under 3.5 66.59% (+1.04)
Over 4.5 20.36% (-0.86)
Under 4.5 79.64% (+0.85)

First Half Winner

Lech Poznan 37.99% (+0.18)
Draw 39.97% (-0.22)
Aarhus 22.05% (+0.04)

Team To Score First

Lech Poznan 56.42% (-0.09)
No Goal 6.13% (+0.23)
Aarhus 37.45% (-0.15)

Corners

Over 8 66.65% (+0.52)
Equal 8 10.74% (-0.07)
Under 8 22.62% (-0.44)
Over 9 54.86% (+0.51)
Equal 9 11.78% (-0.01)
Under 9 33.35% (-0.51)
Over 10.5 43.1% (+0.47)
Under 10.5 56.9% (-0.47)

Lech Poznan Goals

Over 1.5 46.9% (-0.90)
Under 1.5 53.1% (+0.90)
Over 2.5 23.02% (-0.91)
Under 2.5 76.98% (+0.91)
Over 3.5 9.35% (-0.44)
Under 3.5 90.65% (+0.45)

Aarhus Goals

Over 0.5 64.36%
Under 0.5 35.64%
Over 1.5 32.46% (-0.20)
Under 1.5 67.54% (+0.21)
Over 2.5 12.54% (-0.11)
Under 2.5 87.46% (+0.10)
Over 3.5 4.25% (-0.13)
Under 3.5 95.75% (+0.13)

Score analysis

Lech Poznan 46.81%
Draw 23.85%
Aarhus 29.35%
Lech Poznan
1-0 @ 9.12% (+0.19)
2-1 @ 9.02% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 7.18% (+0.03)
3-1 @ 4.92% (-0.17)
3-0 @ 4.09% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.35% (-0.23)
Other @ 9.13% (-0.44)
Total : 46.81%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.83% (+0.20)
0-0 @ 6.13% (+0.23)
2-2 @ 5.36% (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1.31% (-0.06)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 23.85%
Aarhus
0-1 @ 7.13% (+0.17)
1-2 @ 6.76% (+0.11)
0-2 @ 4.45% (+0.05)
1-3 @ 2.76% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.32% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.9% (+0.07)
Other @ 4.03% (-0.13)
Total : 29.35%

Head to Head

Champions League
Jul 21, 2026 6.00pm
1
4
HT : 0 2
FT Cepheus Park Randers
  • Jesper Hansen 37' redcard
  • Gift Links 45'+6' yellowcard
  • Kristian Arnstad 55' goal
  • goal Mikael Ishak  29'
  • goal Patrik Wålemark 42'
  • yellowcard Radosław Murawski 50'
  • goal Terry Yegbe 61'
  • goal Patrik Wålemark 65'
  • yellowcard Yannick Agnero 69'