Bundesliga Relegation Playoffs | Finals | 1st Leg

May 23, 2024 at 7.30pm UK

Vonovia Ruhrstadion

VfL Bochum
0 - 3
Dusseldorf

(agg: -)

Bernardo (71'), Losilla (90+3')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Hofmann (13' og.), Klaus (64'), Engelhardt (72')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Bundesliga Relegation Playoffs clash between VfL Bochum and Fortuna Dusseldorf, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

VfL Bochum

All competitions

Last Game: Werder Bremen 4-1 VfL Bochum
Saturday, May 18 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Fortuna Dusseldorf

All competitions

Last Game: Dusseldorf 3-2 Magdeburg
Sunday, May 19 at 2.30pm in 2.Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: VfL Bochum 2-2 Fortuna Dusseldorf

Goals are to be expected in this contest, as both sides have looked strong going forward as well as vulnerable at the back, particularly the hosts in recent weeks. The momentum is with Dusseldorf heading into Thursday's match, but there is little to separate these two teams so an entertaining draw could be played out on this occasion. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Dusseldorf win with a probability of 41.39%. A win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 35.58% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Dusseldorf win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.4%) and 0-2 (5.48%). The likeliest VfL Bochum win was 2-1 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fortuna Dusseldorf would win this match.

Result
VfL Bochum	Draw	Fortuna Dusseldorf
35.58%	23.03%	41.39%

Both teams to score 64.97%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.77%

36.23%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.65%

58.34%

VfL Bochum Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.28%

20.72%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.66%

53.33%

Fortuna Dusseldorf Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.94%

18.05%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.04%

48.96%

Score Analysis

VfL Bochum 35.58%

Fortuna Dusseldorf 41.39%

Draw 23.02%

VfL Bochum	Draw	Fortuna Dusseldorf
2-1 @ 7.93% 1-0 @ 5.89% 2-0 @ 4.63% 3-1 @ 4.16% 3-2 @ 3.56% 3-0 @ 2.43% 4-1 @ 1.64% 4-2 @ 1.4% 4-0 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.97% Total : 35.58%	1-1 @ 10.07% 2-2 @ 6.79% 0-0 @ 3.74% 3-3 @ 2.03% Other @ 0.38% Total : 23.02%	1-2 @ 8.63% 0-1 @ 6.4% 0-2 @ 5.48% 1-3 @ 4.92% 2-3 @ 3.87% 0-3 @ 3.13% 1-4 @ 2.11% 2-4 @ 1.66% 0-4 @ 1.34% Other @ 3.85% Total : 41.39%