Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AIK Fotboll win with a probability of 49.01%. A win for Varnamo had a probability of 27.23% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an AIK Fotboll win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.07%) and 0-2 (7.8%). The likeliest Varnamo win was 2-1 (6.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AIK Fotboll would win this match.