Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa Under-21s win with a probability of 61.98%. A win for Stoke City Under-21s had a probability of 19.95% and a draw had a probability of 18.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (7.41%) and 0-2 (6.17%). The likeliest Stoke City Under-21s win was 2-1 (4.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (6.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.