Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartak Trnava win with a probability of 46.75%. A win for Sarajevo had a probability of 27.75% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spartak Trnava win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.26%) and 2-0 (8.3%). The likeliest Sarajevo win was 0-1 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Spartak Trnava would win this match.